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Solana Price Analysis: SOL Battles $210 Resistance as Wedge Breakdown Looms

Published 22 August 2025
Valdrin Tahiri
Authors
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • The Solana (SOL) price trades in a range between $125 and $210.
  • Solana trades inside a short-term ascending wedge pattern.
  • Can SOL reach a new all-time high this cycle, or are new lows more likely?

Solana (SOL) has been consolidating in a broad trading range, leaving traders questioning whether the next big move will be a breakout or breakdown.

Despite several breakout attempts, momentum indicators remain neutral, making the short-term outlook uncertain.

With a bearish wedge pattern forming, the coming weeks could decide whether SOL revisits lower supports or builds momentum toward new highs.

Solana Price Analysis

The weekly time frame Solana chart shows that the price has traded between $125 and $210 since the start of 2024.

SOL deviated above this level in January, reaching its all-time high, but has fallen since, creating a descending resistance trend line.

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The deviation below the range low (green icon) triggered an upward movement, and the SOL price has increased since, breaking out from the resistance trend line.

Despite the breakout, it failed to move above the range high, creating a long upper wick (red icon). The rejection confirmed the $215 area as resistance.

SOL Weekly Analysis
SOL/USDT Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/ TradingView

Momentum indicators are neutral. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 50 while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0.

So, the weekly time frame analysis cannot determine whether the Solana price will rally.

Solana’s Bearish Pattern

The daily time frame chart shows that SOL has increased inside an ascending wedge since early April.

The ascending wedge is considered a bearish pattern, meaning it usually leads to breakdowns.

SOL Daily Movement
SOL/USDT Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/ TradingView

In addition, the price of Solana has completed a five-wave upward movement, which is a leading diagonal in a larger structure.

The Solana price will eventually break down from this wedge, reaching the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement support level at $138-$152.

Solana vs BTC and ETH

Since its all-time high, Solana has lost 47% of its value against Bitcoin (BTC), declining below the 165,000 satoshi resistance area.

However, this period of underperformance could end soon. The SOL to BTC chart shows a bullish divergence (orange) in the weekly RSI and MACD.

These divergences often lead to a bullish trend reversal, and could cause the SOL price to clear the 165,000 satoshi resistance.

SOL BTC
SOL/BTC Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/ TradingView

The Solana to Ethereum (ETH) chart does create the same optimism. SOL has fallen by 50% since April, and neither the RSI nor MACD shows signs of a bullish trend reversal.

The only saving grace is that the SOL price has nearly reached the confluence of support levels at 0.039 ETH, created by a horizontal support area and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement support level.

Bearish Chart
SOL/ETH Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/ TradingView

However, the area could cause a temporary bounce rather than a full bullish trend reversal.

So, while the SOL price will likely outperform BTC the rest of 2025, Ethereum remains out of reach.

Concluding Thoughts

Overall, Solana’s charts reveal a tug-of-war between bulls and bears in a wide range.

A short-term breakdown could occur if the price does not clear the $215 resistance.

Solana could outperform Bitcoin the rest of the year, but ETH will likely increase faster.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

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