Key Takeaways
Optimism (OP) is currently in a corrective phase, testing key support levels that could determine its next major move.
The daily charts suggest the asset is near the completion of a wave (c) decline, while the 1-hour chart highlights potential short-term movements before a breakout attempt.
The daily chart shows OP in a prolonged corrective phase, forming an ABC structure. The price is currently testing the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $0.79, with the next key support at $0.34 (0.618 Fibonacci level).
Historically, OP has rebounded from this zone around $1, making it a critical area to watch for a potential reversal.
However, its recent decline was a breakout below the demand zone and will likely continue to the downside.
A descending trendline from previous highs remains a major resistance, positioned around $1.23. If OP breaks above this level, it would confirm a shift toward a bullish structure.
The RSI is near oversold conditions, reinforcing the likelihood of a bottom formation.
On the 4-hour chart, wave (c) appears to be nearing completion. A strong bullish reaction from the current range ($0.79–$0.86) would signal the start of a recovery, with the first key upside target around $1.23.
If the price fails to hold this support, the next downside target is $0.34, though this scenario remains less probable.
The 1-hour chart suggests OP is in the final stages of wave (c), with a possible last decline before a reversal.
Fibonacci levels highlight $0.79 as a strong support zone where buyers may step in.
A bounce from this level could lead to an initial rally toward $1.00, with confirmation above $1.23 signaling a larger breakout.
If OP holds above $0.79 and gains momentum, an extended wave (i) could push it toward $1.80, aligning with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement from previous highs.
Further bullish continuation could see OP targeting $2.70 in the coming weeks if overall market conditions improve.
However, failure to sustain the $0.79–$0.86 range could trigger further downside. If OP breaks below $0.79, a deeper correction toward $0.34 may occur before any bullish trend resumes.
The RSI should be monitored, as a move above 50 would confirm a shift in momentum.
A successful rebound would validate a bullish reversal, with OP eyeing a strong breakout above $1.23 as a key confirmation level.
If OP holds support and rebounds, a breakout above $1.23 could confirm a bullish reversal, targeting higher resistance levels in the coming months.