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Illuvium (ILV) Price Outlook: Key Levels to Watch for a Potential Recovery

Published
Nikola Lazic
Published
By Nikola Lazic
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

Illuvium (ILV) has been in a prolonged downtrend, but recent price action suggests a potential reversal may be forming.

The daily chart highlights the completion of a complex correction, while the 1-hour chart suggests an emerging bullish impulse.

A breakout from key resistance zones could confirm a trend shift in the coming days.

ILV Price Analysis

ILV has been in a multi-month decline, forming a descending wedge structure.

The Elliott Wave count suggests that a W-X-Y correction is in its final stages, with the last leg (wave Y) approaching exhaustion near $12.88.

This price zone is at an all-time low, with signs of the momentum slowing down.

ILV price analysis
ILVUSD at all-time low | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains deeply oversold, reflecting strong selling exhaustion, possibly leading to a relief rally. Historically, such conditions have preceded strong rebounds in ILV.

A key resistance zone is located at $38.42, where previous corrective waves have failed to sustain upward momentum.

The descending trendline also intersects near this level, making it a critical breakout point. If ILV can reclaim $24.35, it could signal the beginning of a larger reversal wave, targeting $38.42 and potentially $72.12.

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If the price fails to hold current levels and breaks below $12.88, the bearish scenario remains intact, and a deeper decline toward $8.00-$10.00 could follow.

ILV Price Prediction

The 1-hour chart indicates that ILV may have completed its five-wave decline, with wave (v) of the final corrective structure nearing exhaustion.

The price has shown initial signs of bottoming, with bullish divergence appearing on RSI.

A short-term impulse could follow with wave (i) breaking structure and wave (ii) forming a corrective retracement.

If ILV sustains above $14.00, it may confirm the beginning of a new impulsive move. A successful breakout above $16.00 would add further confirmation.

ILV price
ILVUSD one more final low ahead | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

The first major target for a bullish move is $24.35, which aligns with prior structure as a horizontal resistance point.

A pullback from this region would be expected before continuation toward $38.42.

In the bearish case, failure to hold above $12.88 could result in an extended corrective phase, delaying a bullish reversal. The RSI needs to remain above 40 to support upward momentum, as a drop below could indicate weakness.

If wave (iii) extends properly, targets for wave (v) could reach the $38.00-$40.00 range in the medium term, confirming a reversal structure.

ILV is showing signs of a potential recovery, with key breakout points to watch. A successful impulse structure could lead to a trend reversal, while failure to hold key supports may delay upside progress.

Key Levels to Watch

  • Immediate Resistance: $16.00 (structural breakout level).
  • Key Resistance: $24.35 (historical resistance zone).
  • Major Resistance: $38.42 (trendline and key supply zone).
  • Immediate Support: $14.00 (wave (ii) retracement).
  • Critical Support: $12.88 (last corrective low).
  • Short-Term Target for Wave (v): Above $38.00 if momentum sustains.
  • Invalidation Zone: Below $12.00, confirming continued downside potential.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Nikola Lazic

Nikola Lazic is a cryptocurrency analyst and investor working in the industry since 2017. He holds a bachelor's degree in Sociology, which enables him to better understand the psychology behind the crowd´s positioning. Consequently his preferred analytical tool is Elliott Wave Theory in combination with price action analysis. Combining his experience in trading and investing with knowledge in content writing he strives to bring the most accurate and actionable information. Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, On-chain metrics, Research reports.
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