KAVA Price Analysis: 130% Surge Brings 1,300-Day Breakout Within Sight

Key Takeaways

• KAVA attempts to break out from a 1,300-day resistance.
• The price trades inside a long-term horizontal resistance.
• Can KAVA break out from these levels or will it get rejected?
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KAVA has defied the rest of the crypto market, which created new lows in 2025. On the contrary, KAVA has shown resilience by creating consecutive higher highs since August 2025.

KAVA now faces a critical test at resistance. With momentum brewing, the key question is whether it can break through these resistances, confirming its trend reversal.

KAVA Price Attempts Breakout

The weekly analysis shows that the KAVA price has fallen under a descending resistance trend line since its all-time high of $8.80 in August 2021.

KAVA’s decline led to a low of $0.25 three years later, only incrementally above the all-time low of $0.24. KAVA has bounced admirably since, creating several high lows.

This week, the price attempts to break out from the resistance trend line, which coincides with the $0.56 horizontal resistance area. The next resistance is at $1.10.

Technical indicators lean bullish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are increasing.

The former is above 50 while the latter is positive, both signs that the trend is bullish.

Another interesting development is KAVA’s bullish chart against Bitcoin (BTC). While KAVA fell to a new all-time low in January, it has increased since.

Similarly to the weekly time frame, the KAVA price broke out from a descending resistance trend line. The price trades inside the 670 satoshi resistance area, a breakout above which could accelerate the upward movement.

The RSI reading is extremely bullish since the indicator generated a bullish divergence before the breakout and completed a swing failure pattern by moving above 50.

So, KAVA is one of the few altcoins with a positive chart against Bitcoin and the dollar.

Corrective Rallies

While the weekly time frame is bullish, the daily one is more reluctant to give a positive KAVA prediction, primarily because of the wave count.

The wave count shows that the long-term rally starting in August 2024 and the short-term one starting in December are three-wave structures.

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This means the rallies are corrective and the overall trend remains bearish. If this is the case, the KAVA price is in wave C in an A-B-C structure, after which a downward movement will follow.

Wave C could end at the parallel channel’s resistance trend line at $0.60 or extend to the next horizontal resistance at $0.70. However, it is likely a relief rally while the price trades below $0.70.

On the other hand, a close above $0.70 would raise doubts about the count’s validity and could take the KAVA price to the next long-term resistance at $1.10.

Uncertain Trend Ahead

KAVA attempts to break out from a long-term diagonal and horizontal resistance level. While the long-term chart is bullish, the daily one suggests the increase is corrective and will end soon.

The trend’s direction is unclear because the time frames are not aligned. Whether KAVA closes above $0.60 or gets rejected can clarify the movement for the rest of the year.