Did Hedera (HBAR) Price Fake You Out Before Biggest Move Yet?

Key Takeaways

Hedera’s (HBAR) price follows a resistance trend line.
Hedera’s short-term correction could end soon.
Can HBAR finally break out and reach new highs?

The Hedera (HBAR) price was one of the best performers in the crypto market in December 2024 alongside XRP and Stellar (XLM).

However, the positive momentum did not spill over in the first half of 2025. On the contrary, the HBAR price had crashed 70% by April.

The second half of 2025 has flipped the script, leading to a 150% surge and another retest of a long-term resistance.

Let’s examine the charts and see if the HBAR price will break out.

HBAR Price Analysis

The weekly time frame HBAR technical analysis shows that the price has fallen under a long-term resistance trend line since its all-time high in September 2021.

Recently, the HBAR price made two unsuccessful breakout attempts in December 2024 and January 2025 (red icon).

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After another sharp decline, the price of HBAR regained its footing in April, creating five successive bullish weekly candlesticks.

While HBAR paused last week, it is still close to the resistance trend line, meaning that a minor upward movement can trigger a breakout attempt.

Adding to the price action, momentum indicators give a bullish signal.

HBAR Weekly — HBAR/USDT Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/ TradingView

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) crossed 50, and the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is positive.

The previous times the indicators gave this signal led to 255% and 890% rallies, respectively.

So, the Hedera price prediction is bullish, suggesting HBAR will break out from its long-term resistance soon.

HBAR Retests Support

The daily time frame provides a bullish HBAR outlook but also presents concerns for the future trend.

Firstly, the bullish side. HBAR broke out from an ascending parallel channel and validated it as support (green icon).

This retest can lead to the resumption of the upward movement, especially since the channel coincides with the $0.240 horizontal support area.

HBAR Daily Movement — HBAR/USDT Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/ TradingView

The bearish readings come from the fact that HBAR was rejected from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance level.

Additionally, the daily RSI and MACD are both falling, a sign of a bearish trend, though neither is below their bearish thresholds yet.

Finally, the six-hour chart provides some clarity with a decisive bullish reading.

It shows a deviation and reclaim of the $0.24 horizontal support area.

This could be the first stage of an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, but that has yet to be confirmed.

The HBAR price is attempting to break out from its short-term resistance today.

HBAR Short-Term — HBAR/USDT Six-Hour Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Moreover, the Hedera price has completed an A-B-C correction (red) where waves A and C have the same length.

Therefore, once Hedera breaks out from its short-term resistance, it will confirm the correction is over and make another breakout attempt above its long-term resistance.

HBAR Breakout Soon

Hedera shows strong signs of recovery and bullish momentum after a significant correction earlier in 2025.

The combination of different time frames suggests a breakout is likely, confirmed with a movement above the short-term resistance trend line.

If HBAR clears its long-term resistance, the coin could swiftly reach a new all-time high.

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Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

About the Author

Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

[email protected]

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