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Hedera (HBAR) Holding Above $0.17 Key Pivot Point — Bullish Correction Near Completion

Published
Nikola Lazic
Published
By Nikola Lazic
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • HBAR completed a corrective WXY structure.
  • Falling wedge breakout suggests bullish momentum.
  • $0.17 is critical support for trend continuation.

Hedera (HBAR) is trading near $0.177, just above the key 0.618 Fibonacci level from its bull phase.

The broader structure indicates a potential reversal zone, with high and low timeframes pointing toward a correction phase nearing completion.

With RSI resetting and wave counts aligned, the stage may be set for a new impulsive move if key levels hold.

HBAR Price Analysis

HBAR appears to have completed a corrective WXY structure on the daily chart following its macro peak at $0.391 in January.

The April 7 low around $0.126 marks a confluence of support zones, near the 0.786 Fib retracement and historical horizontal levels.

HBAR price analysis
HBARUSD | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

From that low, the price rebounded, breaking above significant descending resistance and potentially signaling the start of a new bull phase.

The price moved in a five-wave structure, forming a rising wedge leading to a high of $0.20 on April 25.

A pullback followed, which could be interpreted as a correction.

It’s currently near $0.17 – aligning with the 0.618 retracement, signaling a potentially completed pullback.

The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral, hovering just below 50, giving room for upward momentum.

If the support at $0.17 continues to hold and a higher low is confirmed, the price could begin targeting higher Fibonacci levels.

Overall, the structure supports the end of a prolonged downtrend and transitioning into a new bullish phase.

The current correction seems corrective and not impulsive, aligning with the broader bullish recovery narrative.

HBAR Price Prediction

The lower time frame shows that HBAR completed a five-wave impulse from its $0.126 bottom, followed by a textbook (a)-(b)-(c) correction ending near $0.17.

The (c) wave appears to have formed a falling wedge, which the price is attempting to break out of.

HBAR price prediction
HBARUSD | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

This setup implies a bullish reversal could be underway.

If a breakout confirms with volume and structure (such as a higher high above $0.183), it would confirm the start of a new impulse.

This could be its higher-degree wave three or wave C, next targeting Fibonacci levels at $0.217 and $0.258.

Given the RSI’s bounce from oversold conditions and wedge breakout attempt, a near-term rally is highly probable.

If the price fails to sustain above $0.17, a deeper retracement toward $0.13 remains possible, invalidating the bullish scenario.

The chart suggests HBAR is at an inflection point — the next few candles will determine if this is just a bounce or the start of a broader uptrend.

Key Levels to Watch

  • Immediate Support: $0.1700 (0.618 Fib level).
  • Wave High Resistance: $0.1830 (local swing high).
  • Macro Structural Resistance: $0.2175 (0.5 Fib retracement).
  • Next Bullish Target: $0.2585 (0.382 Fib from macro top).
  • Critical Support Zone: $0.1260 (0.786 Fib retracement & last low).

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Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Nikola Lazic is a cryptocurrency analyst and investor working in the industry since 2017. He holds a bachelor's degree in Sociology, which enables him to better understand the psychology behind the crowd´s positioning. Consequently his preferred analytical tool is Elliott Wave Theory in combination with price action analysis. Combining his experience in trading and investing with knowledge in content writing he strives to bring the most accurate and actionable information. Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, On-chain metrics, Research reports.
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