Key Takeaways
The recent surge in the price of Hedera (HBAR) has attracted significant attention. The price follows a parabolic ascending support trend line.
Positive HBAR news hit today. The White House published a report on the crypto ecosystem and mentioned HBAR in the report.
The technical analysis suggests that HBAR has completed a corrective phase and may be primed for an upward move, possibly mirroring XRP’s recent rally.
The HBAR price has increased parabolically since June 22, suffering only minor corrections during its ascent.
Twice, HBAR moved above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance level at $0.295, but created long lower wicks each time (red icon).
After the recent rejection, HBAR returned to the parabola, creating a massive bullish engulfing candlestick today.
The decline was preceded by a bearish divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD).
However, a drop has already occurred due to the divergence so that it may have already played out, and a significant rally will follow.

So, the HBAR price prediction for the second half of 2025 is bullish. If the HBAR price breaks out above $0.295, it could quickly ascend to $0.375.
Based on the slope of the parabola, it could reach the target in two weeks.
The daily wave count is extremely bullish, suggesting HBAR will go on a parabolic price run soon.
The count suggests the price has just started wave five after completing a running flat correction in wave four.
A running flat shows massive momentum brewing, and the next movement will be sharp.
Wave four was intense, hence a very shallow wave four fits with the principles of alternation.
If wave five extends, the HBAR price could reach a high of $0.42 before a significant correction, a new cycle high.
The Hedera and XRP prices have moved in tandem with each other since August 2024.
They both reached their highs in December 2024/January 2025 and have fallen since.
The HBAR price has suffered more in the correction, but started to pick up recently (black).

On the other hand, the XRP price (purple) already reached a new high last week.
So, the fractal fits with the HBAR technical analysis, suggesting the price will break out soon.
HBAR is positioned well for a sharp price increase in the coming weeks.
If it breaks the key resistance at $0.295, the path to $0.375 and $0.420 is relatively straightforward.
Given its bullish prediction and fractal similarities to the XRP price, HBAR could reach a new cycle high in the second half of 2025.
Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.
He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.
Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.
He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.
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