Hedera (HBAR) follows a long-term descending resistance trend line.
The HBAR price is trying to break out from the $0.265 resistance level.
Can the HBAR price break out and reach a new all-time high this year?
Hedera (HBAR) shows renewed strength as it tests a long-standing descending resistance line, fueled by positive news regarding Grayscale’s recent HBAR ETF filing.
Despite multiple past rejections, the latest price action suggests that selling pressure is weakening.
If the HBAR price breaks out from its diagonal resistance, it will target a new all-time high next.
HBAR Price Analysis
The HBAR price has fallen under a descending resistance trend line since its all-time high of $0.57 in 2021.
More recently, it made several unsuccessful breakout attempts (black circle) at the end of 2024, before another failed attempt in July 2025.
Despite their similar rejections, their reactions were completely different.
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Momentum indicators lean bullish but without firm conviction.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, and the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is positive.
Consequently, the HBAR price prediction for the rest of 2025 is bullish, but a clear breakout above the resistance trend line is required to validate this view.
Can HBAR Break Out?
The daily chart also leans bullish, but suggests more downside is possible before an eventual breakout.
There are several reasons why this is the case.
Hedera’s price has likely begun a 1-2/1-2 wave structure (green and black), which will likely lead to an explosive rally after the formation is complete.
However, the price is completing the second correction.
Since the HBAR price trades inside an ascending parallel channel and has deviated above the $0.265 horizontal area, which is also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement resistance level.
The most likely future outlook is another short-term breakdown before an eventual breakout that takes HBAR to a new all-time high price.
HBAR, XRP & XLM
Since the rally began in April, HBAR has had a very interesting fractal with XRP (orange) and Stellar (XLM).
XLM (purple) is likely leading, since it was the first to reach its cycle high.
Of the three, HBAR was the final one to reach its high at the end of July.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.
He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.
Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.
He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.
