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Hamster Kombat (HMSTR) Consolidates After Descending Triangle Breakout

Published
Nikola Lazic
Published
By Nikola Lazic
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

Hamster Token (HMSTR) appears to be in the early stages of recovery after completing a long corrective phase that spanned several months.

With the macrostructure and the lower time frame aligning toward bullish potential, the token now stands at a pivot point, preparing for its next impulsive leg upward.

HMSTR Price Analysis

The 4-hour chart reveals a prolonged descending triangle formation, which developed from the high of $0.0080, unfolding an A-B-C-D-E triangle correction.

The final E wave ended with a slight bullish divergence on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and formed a solid base within the green accumulation zone, around $0.00144 to $0.00163.

HMSTR price analysis
HMSTRUSD breakout confirmed | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

The breakout from this descending triangle structure was clean and impulsive, suggesting the end of the corrective phase.

Currently, HMSTR is consolidating just above the triangle’s upper boundary, with the RSI shifting above neutral levels — another sign of strengthening momentum.

The price stabilizes above $0.0020, which could be the first consolidation in a new uptrend.

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This consolidation appears to be a launchpad for the next move higher, with the major targets — $0.00240, $0.00273, and $0.00327.

This analysis is further validated by the higher lows forming since mid-February, suggesting the beginning of a trend reversal phase toward a bullish macrocycle.

HMSTR Price Prediction

On the 1-hour chart, the Elliott Wave structure shows a completed five-wave impulse off the February low, followed by an ongoing sideways correction.

The consolidation mentioned is likely a higher-degree wave 2, meaning that the next move should propel the price into a decisive upward impulse.

The RSI shows mid-range oscillation, allowing room for further upside.

Price currently trades near $0.00216, just above a local support cluster between $0.00201 (0.236 retracement) and $0.00187 (0.5 retracement).

HMSTR price prediction
HMSTRUSD more upside expected | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

The impulsive nature wave (iii) could extend toward $0.00273 (1.0 extension) or even $0.00327 (1.618 extension), depending on strength.

The structure also aligns with a bullish breakout projection beyond the wedge apex, a pattern that frequently yields explosive upside when volume increases — a factor worth watching closely.

If the wave count is accurate, short-term pullbacks into the $0.00187 zone would be potential reentry points before the next parabolic leg.

However, dropping below $0.00177 (0.618 Fibonacci) would question the bullish setup and may retest deeper levels near the green zone.

Overall, with price consolidating above key Fibonacci levels and a clean impulsive structure developing, HMSTR looks technically positioned to move toward the $0.00273–$0.00327 range within the coming weeks.

Key Levels to Watch

  • Immediate Resistance: $0.00230 (0.5 Fibonacci level).
  • Key Resistance: $0.00273 (1.0 Fibonacci extension).
  • Major Resistance: $0.00327 (1.618 Fibonacci extension).
  • Immediate Support: $0.00201 (0.236 Fibonacci retracement).
  • Critical Support: $0.00177 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement).
  • Short-Term Target for Wave (iii): $0.00273–$0.00327.
  • Invalidation Zone: Below $0.00177.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Nikola Lazic is a cryptocurrency analyst and investor working in the industry since 2017. He holds a bachelor's degree in Sociology, which enables him to better understand the psychology behind the crowd´s positioning. Consequently his preferred analytical tool is Elliott Wave Theory in combination with price action analysis. Combining his experience in trading and investing with knowledge in content writing he strives to bring the most accurate and actionable information. Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, On-chain metrics, Research reports.
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