Gold has surged to a record high of $3,789, leaving both commodities and crypto markets in the dust.
Historically, Bitcoin has often moved in tandem with gold during periods of macro uncertainty. Now, the big question is whether BTC could be gearing up for its own breakout.
Is Bitcoin about to follow gold’s parabolic run to a new all-time high?
The Gold price has been on an absolute tear this year, surging by 45% to a new all-time high of $3,791 this week.
Its upward trend started in February 2024 (green icon), when Gold broke out from the $2,100 horizontal resistance area after four previous unsuccessful attempts.
While the yearly increase is 45%, the upward movement since that breakout amounts to a 90% rally.
Gold’s increase does not follow a pattern and is almost entirely parabolic.
While the price action is decisively bullish, momentum indicators show weakness.
The two-week Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at its all-time high, while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) shows weakening momentum.

Historically, these signs have often preceded downward trends, and a similar decline may occur soon.
So, caution is warranted regarding the upward movement since the Gold price could be due for a retracement soon.
While Gold and Bitcoin are positively correlated, an interesting pattern has occurred in each bull cycle: their prices diverge.
More specifically, Gold pauses after a parabolic increase, allowing the price of Bitcoin to catch up.

This has happened twice so far, at the end of 2016 and 2024, respectively.
Since the Gold price has risen parabolically for over a year and a half, it is due for a retracement, which could allow the money to flow into Bitcoin.
Gold’s massive surge has captured the market’s attention, but momentum signals suggest a pullback could be on the horizon.
If history repeats, a cooling in Gold’s price may open the door for Bitcoin to play catch-up.
With both assets moving in cycles, Bitcoin could shine the rest of the year, heavily outpacing Gold.