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Gold Hits New All-Time High After 45% Yearly Increase — Bitcoin Price Could Follow

Published 24 September 2025
Valdrin Tahiri
Authors
Edited by Insha Zia
Key Takeaways
  • Gold hit a new all-time high of $3,789 on Sept. 23.
  • Gold and Bitcoin have historically been correlated.
  • Will Bitcoin follow Gold’s lead and hit a new all-time high?

Gold has surged to a record high of $3,789, leaving both commodities and crypto markets in the dust.

Historically, Bitcoin has often moved in tandem with gold during periods of macro uncertainty. Now, the big question is whether BTC could be gearing up for its own breakout.

Is Bitcoin about to follow gold’s parabolic run to a new all-time high?

Why Is Gold Going Up?

The Gold price has been on an absolute tear this year, surging by 45% to a new all-time high of $3,791 this week.

Its upward trend started in February 2024 (green icon), when Gold broke out from the $2,100 horizontal resistance area after four previous unsuccessful attempts.

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While the yearly increase is 45%, the upward movement since that breakout amounts to a 90% rally.

Gold’s increase does not follow a pattern and is almost entirely parabolic.

While the price action is decisively bullish, momentum indicators show weakness.

The two-week Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at its all-time high, while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) shows weakening momentum.

Bitcoin and Gold
Custom 2-Week Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Historically, these signs have often preceded downward trends, and a similar decline may occur soon.

So, caution is warranted regarding the upward movement since the Gold price could be due for a retracement soon.

Gold and Bitcoin Correlation

While Gold and Bitcoin are positively correlated, an interesting pattern has occurred in each bull cycle: their prices diverge.

More specifically, Gold pauses after a parabolic increase, allowing the price of Bitcoin to catch up.

GOLD Rally
GOLD 2-Week Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

This has happened twice so far, at the end of 2016 and 2024, respectively.

Since the Gold price has risen parabolically for over a year and a half, it is due for a retracement, which could allow the money to flow into Bitcoin.

Breakout Incoming

Gold’s massive surge has captured the market’s attention, but momentum signals suggest a pullback could be on the horizon.

If history repeats, a cooling in Gold’s price may open the door for Bitcoin to play catch-up.

With both assets moving in cycles, Bitcoin could shine the rest of the year, heavily outpacing Gold.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

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