Ethereum has bounced after retesting its previous all-time high region, and the price action suggests new highs are likely.
Ethereum reached a new all-time high of $4,955 on Oct. 3, and its analysis suggests the upward movement will continue despite the temporary dip.
Let’s examine the charts and find an appropriate level for the top of the upward movement.
Ethereum’s weekly time frame analysis indicates that the price formed a bullish engulfing candlestick last week, following a bounce at the 3,900 horizontal support area.
Ethereum prevented its decline with a strong bounce, creating a long lower week and resuming its ascent last week and this week.
The area has exhibited resistance since the middle of 2021, except for the then-all-time high (black circle), which was merely a deviation.
After three unsuccessful attempts (indicated by red icons), the ETH price finally broke out and confirmed the area as support.
Such a breakout and retest is customary in bullish trends and often leads to a significant rally, as has been the case with Ethereum.
Last week, Ethereum’s price formed a bullish engulfing weekly candlestick, which may signal the start of a sharp rally.
As a result, the price action shows a breakout and retest, which is customary after the price moves outside of a long-term resistance level.

Momentum indicators are decisively bullish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are increasing, and neither has generated a bearish divergence.
As a result, Ethereum’s long-term prediction remains bullish as long as the price trades above the $3,950 horizontal support area.
Ethereum’s wave count supports the bullish prediction from the weekly time frame.
According to the count, Ethereum is in the fifth and final wave of its upward movement, which began in April 2025.
Ethereum completed a textbook fourth-wave pullback (black circle) at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement support level and its previous channel.

Then, Ethereum broke out from a diagonal resistance trendline that had existed for nearly two months. Ethereum accelerated its rate of increase, confirming that wave five is underway.
The RSI and MACD broke out from their resistances, confirming that new highs are likely.
The first target for the top of wave five is at $5,652, created by the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement of the most recent decline.
The Ethereum to Bitcoin chart completely mirrors the USD one, confirming that the ETH price is in the fifth and final wave of its upward movement.
Ethereum initiated wave five on September 25, but has yet to break out from its diagonal resistance, which would confirm that wave five is underway.

Similar to the ETH to USD chart, wave five began after the price reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement support level at ₿0.035.
If the count is accurate, wave five could end at the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement at ₿0.048.
Ethereum’s long-term prediction is bullish if the price does not close below $3,950.
The wave count predicts another upward movement, taking the Ethereum price above $5,600.
Ethereum also has another high left against Bitcoin, which could be the final leg of altcoin season.