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Ethereum (ETH) Price Struggles but Optimism Growing for the Rest of 2025

Published 08 October 2025
Valdrin Tahiri
Authors
Edited by Ryan James
Key Takeaways
  • Ethereum (ETH) broke out from a descending resistance trend line.
  • The ETH price is in the fifth and final wave of its upward movement.
  • How much momentum does Ethereum have left in its upward movement?

Ethereum has bounced after retesting its previous all-time high region, and the price action suggests new highs are likely.

Ethereum reached a new all-time high of $4,955 on Oct. 3, and its analysis suggests the upward movement will continue despite the temporary dip.

Let’s examine the charts and find an appropriate level for the top of the upward movement.

Ethereum Falls After ATH

Ethereum’s weekly time frame analysis indicates that the price formed a bullish engulfing candlestick last week, following a bounce at the 3,900 horizontal support area.

Ethereum prevented its decline with a strong bounce, creating a long lower week and resuming its ascent last week and this week.

The area has exhibited resistance since the middle of 2021, except for the then-all-time high (black circle), which was merely a deviation.

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After three unsuccessful attempts (indicated by red icons), the ETH price finally broke out and confirmed the area as support.

Such a breakout and retest is customary in bullish trends and often leads to a significant rally, as has been the case with Ethereum.

Last week, Ethereum’s price formed a bullish engulfing weekly candlestick, which may signal the start of a sharp rally.

As a result, the price action shows a breakout and retest, which is customary after the price moves outside of a long-term resistance level.

ETH Weekly
ETH/USDT Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Momentum indicators are decisively bullish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are increasing, and neither has generated a bearish divergence.

As a result, Ethereum’s long-term prediction remains bullish as long as the price trades above the $3,950 horizontal support area.

Why is Ethereum Going up?

Ethereum’s wave count supports the bullish prediction from the weekly time frame.

According to the count, Ethereum is in the fifth and final wave of its upward movement, which began in April 2025.

Ethereum completed a textbook fourth-wave pullback (black circle) at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement support level and its previous channel.

ETH Daily Movement
ETH/USDT Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Then, Ethereum broke out from a diagonal resistance trendline that had existed for nearly two months. Ethereum accelerated its rate of increase, confirming that wave five is underway. 

The RSI and MACD broke out from their resistances, confirming that new highs are likely.

The first target for the top of wave five is at $5,652, created by the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement of the most recent decline.

Ethereum vs Bitcoin

The Ethereum to Bitcoin chart completely mirrors the USD one, confirming that the ETH price is in the fifth and final wave of its upward movement.

Ethereum initiated wave five on September 25, but has yet to break out from its diagonal resistance, which would confirm that wave five is underway.

ETH BTC
ETH/BTC Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Similar to the ETH to USD chart, wave five began after the price reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement support level at ₿0.035.

If the count is accurate, wave five could end at the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement at ₿0.048.

New Ethereum ATH

Ethereum’s long-term prediction is bullish if the price does not close below $3,950.

The wave count predicts another upward movement, taking the Ethereum price above $5,600.

Ethereum also has another high left against Bitcoin, which could be the final leg of altcoin season.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

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