Meet the Top 101 in Crypto

Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis — Why $360M ETF Inflows, Fed Rate Cut Could Fuel Breakout

Published 16 September 2025
Victor Olanrewaju
Authors

Key Takeaways

  • On Sept. 15, Ethereum ETFs logged $360 million in inflows, surpassing Bitcoin ETFs.
  • Markets expect a 25 bps Fed rate cut, which could boost demand for risk assets like ETH.
  • Addresses holding 10,000+ ETH reached their highest in nearly three years,  hinting at a breakout.

After weeks of consolidation, Ethereum’s price could be on the brink of a breakout. This sentiment comes after ETH registered a high value of inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which is expected to result in an interest rate cut, is also fueling the sentiment.

At press time, ETH’s price holds above $4,500. Here is where it could trade if these factors play in its favor

Ethereum Allocation Preferred Again

According to data from SosoValue, Ethereum ETFs recorded $360 million in inflows on Sept. 15, marking the fifth consecutive net inflow.

Notably, it also surpassed Bitcoin ETFs, which saw about $260 million on the same day.

Sustained inflows signal that institutional demand for Ethereum is accelerating.

Ethereum outpaced Bitcoin in this instance, highlighting a potential shift in market leadership, with ETH emerging as the preferred asset for near-term allocation.

Get These Top Crypto Casino Offers Now!
Sponsored
Disclosure
Opened in 2023
Promotions
200% deposit bonus up to 20,000 USDT + up to 100 FS (promo code: CG100)
Coins
Tether Bitcoin Ethereum USD Coin TRON +7
Opened in 2021
Promotions
Casino No Wagering 100 Free Spins
Coins
Bitcoin Tether USD Coin Ethereum Solana +11
Opened in 2018
Promotions
500% Welcome Bonus up to $90,000 + 100 Free Spins
Coins
Bitcoin Ethereum Litecoin Tether Dogecoin +3
Show More

This trend could be a powerful indicator of ETH’s price action, preceding upward moves in the spot market.

Should the pattern continue for the rest of the week, Ethereum’s price could test higher resistance levels than $4,500.

Interestingly, institutional appetite for Ethereum hasn’t been limited to ETFs.

According to the recent CoinShares report, ETH-focused digital asset investment products attracted $646 million in inflows over the same period.

Ethereum institutional interest
ETH ETF Inflows | Credit: SoSoValue

“Ethereum, which had faced eight consecutive trading days of outflows, also saw a reversal in sentiment. It registered four straight days of inflows last week, totalling US$646 million,” James Butterfill, CoinShares Head of Research, revealed.

Fed Cut Ahead, Drives Whale Positioning

CCN’s findings suggest that the upcoming FOMC meeting on Sept. 17 is another major factor fueling Ethereum’s momentum.

Markets are pricing in a high probability of a 25 basis point (bps) interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.

A rate cut would inject liquidity into financial markets, lower borrowing costs, and boost appetite for risk-on assets.

For ETH’s price, the strong ETF inflows and favorable macro conditions could be a powerful catalyst, reinforcing the bullish narrative and supporting its push toward $5,000.

From an on-chain perspective, Ethereum whales are positioning for a bigger breakout.

According to Glassnode, the number of addresses holding over 10,000 coins has climbed to its highest level since February 2023.

Ethereum price analysis
ETH Whale Accumulation | Credit: Glassnode

This accumulation trend suggests that large investors are loading up ahead of a potential move higher.

Historically, whale accumulation has preceded major rallies.

Therefore, if the trend continues, whale buying could tighten available supply on exchanges, amplifying the impact of ETF inflows and macro tailwinds, further supporting the case for ETH’s price to push beyond current resistance levels.

ETH Price Analysis: Bull Flag Holds

From a technical perspective, Ethereum’s price maintains its bullish flag formation, a setup it has held for weeks.

Supporting this trend, the Money Flow Index (MFI) has risen to 67.38, showing that capital inflows remain strong.

If momentum holds, ETH could soon break resistance at $4,967. A successful breakout at this level might pave the way for a cycle top around $7,127.

However, the outlook hinges heavily on macro conditions. If the Federal Reserve fails to deliver a rate cut, investor sentiment could sour.

Ethereum ETH price prediction
ETH/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

In that case, ETH’s price risks sliding back toward $4,203, with a deeper retracement potentially finding support near $3,603 at the 0.618 Fibonacci golden ratio.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Victor Olanrewaju

Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space.

With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run.

He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives.

In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends.

At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics.

He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.

Related

Survey Icon
Help us improve
1 of 4
Is this your first time here?
What brought you here today?
What are you most interested in?
Would you be interested in:
Thank you icon
Thank you for your feedback!
DMCA.com Protection Status