Key Takeaways
Cardano’s (ADA) chart tells a familiar story: lower highs and weak follow-through.
As it has performed most of the month, Cardano’s price has extended its decline. At press time, it trades at $0.63, and it looks trapped below a crucial resistance.
The longer this grind continues, the weaker the setup gets.
As it stands, ADA might be unable to clear the hurdle and could be stuck in consolidation.
Cardano’s price has been in a descending channel on the weekly chart since December 2024.
A close look at the chart shows that the major resistance that has kept it this way lies between $0.96 and $1.14.
Yet, despite several attempts at breaching the barrier, the altcoin has been successful.
Amid this, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) has flashed red histogram bars, indicating that the momentum around ADA is bearish.
Should this remain the same, ADA’s price risks falling below the key support at $0.55.
Besides that, the image below shows that the cryptocurrency has dropped below the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
On the longer timeframe, the 50 EMA (blue) acts as a key support.
However, since ADA bulls have been unable to defend it, a rebound is highly unlikely.

From an on-chain standpoint, Cardano’s Daily Active Addresses (DAA) divergence has plunged to -97.28%.
While ADA’s price has declined, on-chain engagement has weakened significantly, suggesting waning user participation and volume.
Such a deep negative divergence reflects cooling market interest, which can precede price pullbacks if activity fails to recover.
Cardano’s price might slip toward $0.55 if this trend continues.
However, if Cardano’s DAA begins to rebound from these levels, it could indicate fresh accumulation and renewed network activity, providing a foundation for ADA’s recovery.

On the daily chart, Cardano currently presents a bearish outlook. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has fallen to -0.13, signaling rising selling pressure.
Additionally, the red line of the Supertrend indicator sits above ADA’s price, reinforcing strong resistance near $0.80.
This position suggests that sellers remain in control, and a bullish reversal may require significant buying volume.
If the current conditions persist, ADA’s price may struggle to break above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level near $0.77.
In that scenario, the altcoin could retrace toward $0.51, continuing the broader corrective phase.

However, if Bitcoin (BTC) maintains its upward momentum toward a new all-time high, market sentiment across altcoins could shift positively.
In such a case, Cardano’s price might rebound toward $0.93, aligning with the 0.618 golden ratio, where stronger bullish momentum could emerge.