Key Takeaways
- XRP trading returns have fallen to their lowest levels in 12 years.
- Bullish long-term XRP price forecasts are re-emerging.
- CCN analysis points to an improving technical outlook.
XRP has attracted a fresh wave of bullish price predictions after on-chain data suggested investor returns have fallen to their lowest levels in the XRP Ledger’s nearly 12-year trading history.
The renewed optimism comes as analysts point to improving technical conditions that could support a longer-term rebound following XRP’s sharp decline.
XRP Trading Returns Sink to Lowest Levels in 12 Years
Blockchain analytics platform Santiment said XRP holders are experiencing the deepest average losses ever recorded across both short and long-term timeframes.
According to Santiment, XRP’s 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has fallen to 45%, while its 365-day MVRV stands at -47%.
“When combined, XRP has NEVER shown lower average returns across these timeframes in its 12-year trading history,” Santiment wrote on X.
The firm said the data reflected an extreme level of fear among investors.
“This tells us fear and frustration are extremely stretched right now,” Santiment said.
While warning that XRP could still decline further, Santiment argued the current setup presented a favorable long-term outlook for the asset.
“Buying or adding $XRP here comes with much less risk than average because so much downside has already been absorbed by other traders,” the firm said.
Santiment added that “the best setups often appear when the crowd is feeling maximum pain (both on-chain and sentiment-wise), not maximum confidence.”
Motley Fool Analyst Outlines Bull Case for XRP Price
The on-chain data comes as Motley Fool analyst Dominic Basulto argued that XRP’s price could stage a significant recovery over the next three years if Ripple continues to expand real-world adoption.
“Things could be about to turn around for XRP,” Basulto wrote.
Adding: “Investors will need to be patient, but XRP has the potential to soar in value within the next three years.”
Basulto highlighted the bullish predictions currently being made across the industry.
“A new XRP price target, for example, is $27,” he said. “And some ultra-bullish analysts even think XRP might hit $100 soon.”
Basulto noted that Ripple has broadened XRP’s use beyond cross-border payments into areas such as tokenization.
Financial institutions increasingly view blockchain technology as “easier, cheaper, and faster” than legacy financial infrastructure, he noted.
While he said a base-case scenario would see XRP’s price revisit the $4 level reached during previous rallies, Basulto acknowledged that more ambitious forecasts remain highly speculative.
“In a bull-case scenario… XRP could be on the cusp of truly stratospheric gains,” he wrote.
However, Basulto cautioned that XRP’s circulating supply makes such valuations difficult to justify under current market conditions.
“The math really doesn’t work right now for double-digit price predictions,” he wrote.
He argued XRP would remain within a $1 to $4 range over the next several years.
CCN Analysis Points to Improving Technical Setup
The bullish commentary follows recent CCN analysis suggesting XRP’s price may be beginning a technical recovery after one of its weakest monthly performances of 2026.
“XRP is attempting to recover after one of its weakest monthly performances of 2026, with technical indicators suggesting that a bullish reversal may be taking shape,” CCN reporter and analyst Giuseppe Ciccomascolo wrote.
XRP has formed a rounded-bottom reversal pattern on the four-hour chart after defending the $1.01-$1.06 support zone several times during late June.
Ciccomascolo said momentum indicators and rising trading volume suggest buying interest is strengthening.
“The technical setup suggests the token could climb toward $1.15 if buyers maintain control over the coming sessions,” he wrote.
However, Ciccomascolo cautioned that the recovery remains unconfirmed, noting that failure to hold support around $1.07 could send XRP into another decline toward the $1.04 support area.
The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Kurt Robson is a London-based reporter at CCN, specialising in the fast-moving worlds of crypto and emerging technology. He began his career covering local news in Cornwall after graduating from Falmouth University with First Class Honours in Journalism. There, he cut his teeth on everything from council meetings to missing swans.
He quickly rose through the ranks to become a frontline journalist at several of the UK’s leading national newspapers. Over the years, he has interviewed musicians and celebrities, reported from courtrooms and crime scenes, and secured multiple front-page exclusives.
Following the upheaval of the COVID-19 pandemic, Kurt shifted his focus to technology journalism—just ahead of the AI boom. With a natural curiosity and a trained eye for emerging trends, he has found a new rhythm in reporting on innovation.
At CCN, Kurt's work focuses on the cutting edge of crypto, blockchain, AI, and the evolving digital world. Drawing on his background in people-first reporting and his deep interest in disruptive tech, Kurt delivers stories that are insightful, entertaining, and human-centric.
