Key Takeaways
Odds of the US CLARITY Act becoming law this year have fallen below 40% on crypto prediction platform Polymarket.
The move comes after President Donald Trump’s latest financial disclosure revealed more than $1.4 billion in crypto-related assets and income.
Trump’s disclosure drew criticism from Ty Cobb, a former White House lawyer during his first administration, who described the President’s financial filings as “the greatest onslaught of corruption in the history of mankind.”
Meanwhile, others have criticized that Trump’s personal financial interests could stall the legislation.
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Trump’s latest ethics filing showed substantial crypto-related assets and income across several ventures, including two Bitcoin cold wallets valued at more than $50 million each.
According to Forbes, the wallets appear to represent direct Bitcoin holdings, which, when combined with Trump’s indirect exposure through Trump Media & Technology Group’s Bitcoin treasury, give the president more than $500 million exposure to BTC.

The disclosure also detailed more than $1.1 billion of other crypto-related income, including approximately:
$635.1 million from the TRUMP memecoin
$236.3 million from World Liberty Financial token sales
$196.9 million from the sale of ownership interests in the USD1 stablecoin venture
$65.6 million from the partial sale of Trump’s stake in World Liberty Financial
$6 million from Melania Trump’s NFT business
$1.82 million in Ethereum staking rewards
The filings come after Trump has repeatedly pledged to make the US the “crypto capital of the world” and backed legislation designed to provide greater regulatory certainty for digital assets.
Speaking on CNN, former Trump White House lawyer Ty Cobb criticized the President’s crypto activities.
When asked if he believed they were legal, Cobb replied: “I don’t believe so.
“Certainly, I don’t think it was contemplated by the founders when they created the Emoluments Clause,” Cobb said.
Referring to Trump, Cobb added:
“This is somebody who every day is devoted to the accumulation of wealth and power.”
He described the recent events as “seeing the greatest onslaught of corruption in the history of mankind in the last 18 months.”
Cobb noted how average Americans should be outraged by a President openly creating rules that line his own pockets.
The White House has previously defended Trump’s financial disclosures and ethics compliance.
The disclosures were released as the Senate continues to stall on passing the CLARITY Act.
Many in the industry believe the renewed attention on Trump’s crypto interests could make passage more politically difficult.
Tony Edward, founder of Thinking Crypto Podcast, noted that the timing of Trump’s disclosures was “interesting.”
“This info could further strengthen the Dems who are using ethics to roadblock the Clarity Act,” Edward added.
He noted that while the “transparency is good,” the timing will be bad for the legislation.
SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci also said that Trump’s crypto exposure “will be cited as one of the main reasons if Clarity doesn’t pass.”
Other social media users also suggested Trump’s financial interests could become a focal point during the Senate debate.
Following the disclosures, Polymarket traders are currently assigning a 39% probability that the CLARITY Act will be signed into law before the end of 2026.
The contract has declined steadily over recent weeks after trading above 60% for much of the Spring.

At the beginning of June, the market gave over a 60% chance it would be signed.
Just one month later, it has dropped over 20%, with many lawmakers concerned it could be pushed back into August and beyond.
Galaxy Research has also become more cautious about the CLARITY Act’s prospects.
Last week, the firm lowered its estimate of the legislation becoming law in 2026 to 50% from 60% earlier this month.
In a policy update, Galaxy Head of Research Alex Thorn said the downgrade reflected mounting concerns over the Senate’s legislative calendar.
“The absence of news is itself the news,” Thorn wrote.
He said lawmakers have yet to release a unified version reconciling the Senate Banking and Agriculture committees’ proposals or schedule a floor vote.
Thorn added that the legislation still faces several procedural hurdles, including:
Publication of a merged bill
A motion to proceed
Senate debate,amendments
Final approval
Subsequent House action
All of this is needed before it can reach President Donald Trump’s desk.
According to Thorn, Senate Majority Leader John Thune would need to commit to floor consideration by early July for the measure to have a realistic chance of clearing before lawmakers leave for the August recess.
Without that timetable, Thorn warned the legislation could slip into September.
This would be another challenge, as it is closer to the midterm elections, which could make floor time to discuss the legislation harder to secure.
The CLARITY Act has continued to see criticism from Senate Democrats led by Elizabeth Warren.
In May, the bill could weaken investor protections through a “tokenization loophole.”
Warren said the legislation would allow companies to issue tokenized versions of traditional financial products on blockchain networks while avoiding existing securities regulations.
The Massachusetts Democrat warned the proposal “fails to address one of the biggest concerns that retirees face.”
She described the potential regulatory gap as “a catastrophic problem” and introduced an amendment requiring investment advisers to implement additional procedures before recommending crypto-related investments to clients.
“My amendment would require investment advisors and other entities in the financial system to develop and implement processes to protect investors from the heightened risk posed by crypto,” Warren said.
Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis opposed the proposal, arguing it would unfairly single out digital assets.
“This amendment would single out digital assets for a special presumption of noncompliance and create unnecessary litigation risk,” Lummis said.