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Bitcoin Price Target of $150k Made: BTC Bonanza Brewing?

Last Updated March 16, 2024 9:12 AM
Teuta Franjkovic
Last Updated March 16, 2024 9:12 AM
By Teuta Franjkovic
Verified by Peter Henn

Key Takeaways

  • Analysts are bullish on Bitcoin, doubling down on their $150,000 prediction.
  • The expected ETF could attract big investors, potentially driving Bitcoin’s price even higher.
  • While Bitcoin’s price is surging, mining stocks are lagging.
  • Experts believe these stocks might still benefit long-term despite the current dip, but patience is key.

Bernstein analysts expressed  increased confidence in their forecast for Bitcoin (BTC) to reach $150,000 by mid-2025. This follows the cryptocurrency’s rally to a new all-time high earlier this week.

They anticipate  that Bitcoin will experience a significant ‘breakout’ following the upcoming halving event. They also anticipate a positive outlook on the future of some Bitcoin miners, despite declining share prices.

Experts Double Down on $150,000 Target with ETF Approval Hope

Bernstein analysts have reaffirmed  their $150,000 price target for Bitcoin, anticipating significant growth by 2025. This optimism is partly due to the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

This move is expected to allow traditional investors to gain direct exposure to Bitcoin through their investment portfolios. This distinguishes it from other investment vehicles, like Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) which currently holds about 3% of Bitcoin’s total supply. Furthermore, the upcoming Bitcoin halving event in April 2024 is predicted to favor remaining miners by reducing competition. This is because rewards for mining will be halved, thereby potentially increasing the value of Bitcoin.

Despite the bullish outlook for Bitcoin, Bernstein also notes the current downtrend in mining stocks. Companies like CleanSpark, Marathon Digital, and Riot Platforms have experienced significant drops in early trading. This decline in share prices contrasts with the optimistic view of Bitcoin’s future. As a result, this suggests that mining stocks might offer a good opportunity for investors looking to gain exposure to Bitcoin.

The SEC approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF is seen as a turning point that could attract substantial investment into Bitcoin, enhancing its price and consolidating its position in the market. Analysts from both Bernstein and AllianceBernstein Holding LP suggest  that this approval led to a significant inflow of funds into the Bitcoin market, driving its price to unprecedented levels.

Bitcoin Miners Set to Shine as Big Money Moves In (BTC)

Analysts Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra from Bernstein have highlighted  that Bitcoin mining stocks have predominantly been the domain of retail investors. Meanwhile, institutional investors have shown hesitancy towards such crypto-related investments. This because of a possible cautious and retrospective view of the cryptocurrency market.

However, with Bitcoin’s price reaching new heights of $72,000 , they anticipate a shift in institutional interest towards bitcoin equities, particularly benefiting Bitcoin miners.

They argue that the uptrend in Bitcoin’s value and transaction fees will offer substantial support to miners heading into the next halving event. Specifically, Riot Platforms and CleanSpark could achieve gross margins of approximately 70% and 60%, necessitating patience from investors betting on Bitcoin miners.

Investors Favor Direct BTC Investments Over Mining Stocks Amid Rally

As Bitcoin’s rally continues, mining stocks have not seen the same level of performance. Currently, investors seem to prefer to “long bitcoin and short miners”. The strategy reflects a preference for spot ETFs as a safer investment option compared to mining stocks, which carry increased risks due to the anticipated impact of the upcoming halving event on their profitability.

On Tuesday, Bitcoin’s price was mostly flat , reaching approximately $72,160. This divergence shows the cautious approach of investors who aim to mitigate uncertainties associated with halving by opting for more direct exposure to Bitcoin through ETFs.

Regulatory Hurdles and Macro Pressures Despite ETF Optimism

While the approval of Bitcoin ETFs has generated significant excitement, it’s essential to acknowledge the persistent regulatory challenges and macroeconomic pressures facing the cryptocurrency industry. The sector continues to operate in a regulatory grey area, striving to strike a balance between innovating and protecting customers. High-profile legal actions by the SEC against leading crypto exchanges, including Binance and Coinbase, underscore the regulatory hurdles that remain.

Furthermore, the broader economic environment, characterized by rising interest rates and ongoing inflation, poses challenges to all asset classes. These factors could deter new investment and influence the crypto market’s growth trajectory, as potential investors might seek perceived safer assets.

Despite the growth and positive developments in the digital asset space in recent months, investors should remain vigilant and informed about the evolving investment landscape, considering both the opportunities and the risks involved.

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