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Bitcoin to $1M Before GTA 6? 10 Wild Bets Traders Wagered Millions on Ahead of Launch

Published 06 November 2026
Kurt Robson
Authors
Key Takeaways
  • GTA 6’s scheduled Nov. 19 release is 13 days away.
  • Ten GTA-themed prediction markets generated around $23.6 million in cumulative trading volume.
  • Bitcoin would need to rally roughly 1,217% from $75,948 to reach $1 million.

Bitcoin reaching $1 million. Rihanna releasing another album. Jesus Christ returning.

Traders bought and sold millions of dollars in wild contracts on those possibilities through a collection of prediction markets asking what would happen before Grand Theft Auto VI.

Now, with Rockstar’s scheduled Nov. 19 release just 13 days away, the distance between Bitcoin’s price and the seven-figure milestone remains enormous.

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Bitcoin’s $1M GTA 6 Bet Generated Nearly $4.8 Million

With GTA 6’s scheduled release now just 13 days away, one of the wildest wagers surrounding the game focused on Bitcoin’s price.

Traders generated around $4.78 million in cumulative trading volume on a Polymarket contract asking whether Bitcoin would reach $1 million before Rockstar’s blockbuster launched.

CCN first examined the wager in June, when Rockstar’s pre-order announcement brought fresh attention to the unlikely race.

Now, as players prepare to download the game, Bitcoin remains far below the milestone.

Although the wager closed in July, with its published rules including a July 31, 2026 cutoff, the idea of $1 million Bitcoin continues to be bet on.

JAN3 CEO Samson Mow has been among its most outspoken advocates.

In a podcast appearance examined in May, he described the milestone as “just around the corner.

Meanwhile, Jack Dorsey and Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong have both publicly backed Bitcoin reaching $1 million by 2030.

Nevertheless, as Rockstar’s long-awaited release approaches, Bitcoin remains far away from that milestone.

Bitcoin Would Need a 1,217% Rally to Reach $1 Million

At the time of reporting, Bitcoin traded at $75,948 on Nov. 6, around 40% below its October 2025 record near $126,198.

From that starting point, reaching $1 million would require a gain of roughly 1,217%.

Even recovering its previous record would leave Bitcoin needing another roughly 692% increase to reach seven figures.

With around 20.1 million BTC circulating, a $1 million price would imply a market capitalization of about $20.1 trillion.

The scale of that repricing would be extraordinary.

Reaching $1 million within the remaining 13 days before GTA 6’s scheduled launch would require Bitcoin to compound at roughly 22% every day.

Jesus and Rihanna Joined Bitcoin in the Betting Frenzy

Bitcoin was only one part of the broader “What will happen before GTA VI?” event.

The collection accumulated $23.6 million in trading volume across 10 outcomes.

The largest was the contract asking whether Jesus Christ would return, which somehow generated more than twice the Bitcoin market’s turnover.

Outcome traders could trade Reported cumulative volume
Jesus Christ returns $11.92 million
Bitcoin reaches $1 million $4.78 million
China invades Taiwan $1.94 million
Russia–Ukraine ceasefire $1.68 million
New Rihanna album $888,130
New Playboi Carti album $757,130
Trump leaves the presidency $718,420
GPT-6 is released $696,240
Drake releases Iceman $184,870
Another pandemic $38,730

Some of the events happened well before Rockstar’s scheduled launch.

Drake released his album Iceman on May 15, 2026, beating both the July betting cutoff and GTA 6’s November release date.

The corresponding contract generated $184,870 in trading volume.

Polymarket bets have garnered over $22 million. | Source: Polymarket

Russia and Ukraine also agreed to a three-day ceasefire in May.

Together, those two contracts attracted over $1.85 million in turnover.

GTA 6 Gets New Screenshots and November 10 Pre-Load

With 13 days until GTA 6’s scheduled release, Rockstar has now provided players with details on when they can download the game, along with a bunch of new insights.

On Thursday, the developer published its GTA VI Launch Gallery, offering new screenshots of Vice City and the surrounding setting.

“Grand Theft Auto VI is now officially only two weeks away,” Rockstar wrote.

Meanwhile, Rockstar’s updated pre-load FAQ says digital downloads will begin on Nov. 10.

PlayStation 5 users can start at midnight in their local time zone, while Xbox Series X|S pre-loading begins globally at midnight GMT.

Rockstar also confirmed that players will need up to 212GB of available storage, depending on their device.

For perspective, that is roughly three times the 70GB PC storage requirement listed for Cyberpunk 2077.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Kurt Robson

Kurt Robson is a London-based reporter at CCN, specialising in the fast-moving worlds of crypto and emerging technology. He began his career covering local news in Cornwall after graduating from Falmouth University with First Class Honours in Journalism. There, he cut his teeth on everything from council meetings to missing swans.

He quickly rose through the ranks to become a frontline journalist at several of the UK’s leading national newspapers. Over the years, he has interviewed musicians and celebrities, reported from courtrooms and crime scenes, and secured multiple front-page exclusives.

Following the upheaval of the COVID-19 pandemic, Kurt shifted his focus to technology journalism—just ahead of the AI boom. With a natural curiosity and a trained eye for emerging trends, he has found a new rhythm in reporting on innovation.

At CCN, Kurt's work focuses on the cutting edge of crypto, blockchain, AI, and the evolving digital world. Drawing on his background in people-first reporting and his deep interest in disruptive tech, Kurt delivers stories that are insightful, entertaining, and human-centric.

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