Key Takeaways
Zcash (ZEC) has been one of the few cryptos that have performed well over the past month.
After breaking out from a symmetrical triangle, ZEC rallied by 1,200% with only minor retracements.
However, there are warning signs that suggest the top is close.
Let’s examine the charts and figure out what lies ahead this year.
The ZEC price action has shown a parabolic increase since the price broke out of a symmetrical triangle in September.
There has been virtually no retracement since ZEC surged by 1,200% to a high of $515.
Zcash had stayed dormant for several years, so this is the highest price since 2018.
Because of the symmetrical triangle, the upward movement is likely wave C in an A-B-C correction (red).
Wave C has extended, and is nearly 3.61 times the length of wave A.
A bearish divergence is developing in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), indicating a weakening trend.

The ZEC chart indicates that while the rally may extend slightly further and reach $586, a significant top is approaching.
The short-term six-hour ZEC chart aligns with the long-term one, suggesting that the price increase may soon come to an end.
The reason for this is that ZEC has been moving inside an ascending wedge since Oct. 23.

Additionally, it has completed a five-wave upward movement (black) during this time, indicating that the rally is nearing its end.
In the scheme of the longer-term wave count, this is likely wave five (green) in the proposed wave C.
Therefore, both the long- and short-term counts suggest that a top is near.

When combined with the bearish divergences and the unsustainable nature of the parabolic increase, all signs indicate a significant ZEC price top is soon to come.
With both long- and short-term wave counts near a top, Zcash’s rally appears to be approaching a major turning point.
The combination of bearish divergences, an extended wave structure, and the unsustainable pace of its rally signals that a significant price decrease could follow.
While ZEC could potentially extend its rally to $586, a significant price drop will follow.