Key Takeaways
Zcash (ZEC) has been on a tear this month, surging more than 300% in October and defying the crypto market’s weakness.
After ZEC broke key resistance levels, the privacy-focused coin is testing its 2021 cycle high, its most critical level in years.
With technical indicators still flashing strength, the question is whether ZEC has more fuel in the tank or if a pullback is on the horizon.
The weekly time frame chart shows that the ZEC price has increased rapidly since bouncing off a diagonal resistance in April (green icon).
After creating a long lower wick, the ZEC price formed a higher low in August and then increased in a parabolic manner.
The ZEC price broke out from the $100 horizontal resistance area. Additionally, it did not even return to validate it as support.
Instead, the price of Zcash continued surging and hit a high of $176 last week.
Zcash’s rally is extremely impressive, given that the crypto market suffered one of its worst-ever crashes last week, while ZEC created a bullish candlestick.
Today, the Zcash price is attempting to break out from the $270 horizontal resistance area, which serves as the 2021 cycle high.
If the price breaks out, it could resume its parabolic ascent, since there is no more resistance above it.

Momentum indicators do not show any weakness. Even though the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are positive, they have not generated any bearish divergences.
So, the long-term ZEC trend is bullish. Let’s examine a lower time frame to see if the same is true for the short-term movement.
While the weekly time frame is bullish, the daily one raises concerns. According to the technical analysis, the price of Zcash has completed an A-B-C correction (red).
The three-wave structure that creates wave A and the symmetrical triangle for wave B indicate this is the correct count.
Afterward, the breakout from the triangle confirmed that wave C has started.
The entire corrective structure might be over since wave C already has 1.61 times the length of wave A.

However, the wave count is still bullish and does not align with the indicator readings or the long-term price action.
Therefore, it remains unclear whether the Zcash trend is bullish or not, or if a new all-time high is forthcoming.
Nevertheless, since the price trades inside a significant horizontal and Fibonacci resistance, an initial retracement is the most likely future outlook.
ZEC’s parabolic rally has been one of the more surprising moves in the crypto space, especially against the backdrop of a massive crypto crash.
While the long-term outlook remains bullish with no significant resistance above the current range, the daily structure signals caution and the potential for a retracement.
Whether Zcash can push past its 2021 peak can determine the direction of the short-term trend.