Key Takeaways
The XLM Price crashed to $0.160 in October before bouncing and preventing a breakdown.
While the bounce was a positive sign, the price of XLM has failed to sustain it and is currently at risk of another breakdown.
With bearish momentum mounting, traders wonder if there is any hope left for a bullish trend reversal.
Let’s examine the charts and determine if the XLM price can prevent another breakdown.
The XLM price has decreased under a descending resistance trend line since its cycle high of $0.64 in November.
The trend line caused several rejections, the most recent in August 2025 (red icon).
After that, the XLM price failed to even reach the trend line, instead creating a lower high before crashing in October.
XLM fell to a low of $0.160 before bouncing (green icon), leaving an enormous long lower wick that prevented a breakdown from the $0.230 support area.
Although the XLM price did not break down, it bounced immediately afterward, failing to sustain its upward movement.
Today, the XLM price is dropping, approaching the $0.230 support area again.

Momentum indicators are extremely bearish, supporting the hypothesis that new lows are likely to be in store. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50, while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is negative.
The MACD also made a bearish cross, putting the final confirmation that the XLM price prediction is bearish.
The daily time frame chart offers more hope than the weekly ones due to its corrective pattern since the cycle high.
Since the cycle high in July, the XLM price has traded within a descending parallel channel and is approaching its support trendline.
If the price bounces at the channel’s support trendline, it will reach a temporary bottom at $0.245 and then jump.

However, the daily RSI and MACD have not yet generated bullish divergence. On the contrary, both indicators are moving downward, increasing the likelihood that the trend is bearish.
Due to these readings, a short-term bounce may occur, but the XLM price is unlikely to initiate a bullish trend reversal.
Stellar’s trend remains bearish, with bearish signals dominating in multiple time frames.
XLM could bounce near the $0.230-$0.245 support levels, but a bullish trend reversal is unlikely.
A weekly close below $0.23 will confirm a bearish trend.