Key Takeaways
XRP’s price dropped during the early trading hours on Monday, Sept. 1, amid the broader market decline.
This drop sparked fear that the altcoin’s bullish momentum until it reached a new all-time high had faded.
Fortunately, that is not the situation. XRP’s price has bounced from that swing low and retested $2.80 as of this writing.
While some may view this as a false breakout, several indicators and technical patterns reveal that it is not.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, XRP’s price traded in a descending channel between Aug. 27 and yesterday.
But as of this writing, the trend has changed as the altcoin has risen above the channel’s upper trendline.
This uptrend indicates that bulls have overpowered bears, and XRP’s price is unlikely to drop below the key $2 support.
A closer look at the chart shows that the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) supports this.
At press time, the MACD has turned positive, and the 12 EMA (blue) has crossed over the 26 EMA (orange) to form a bullish crossover.
The last time such a crossover occurred was on Aug. 26. During that period, XRP’s price retested $3.
History is likely to rhyme. If that happens, XRP might breach the resistance at $2.85, eventually leading the cryptocurrency to test $3 again.

Meanwhile, XRP’s recent decline has dragged its Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio down to 73.42%, a fall from its peak above 150%.
The MVRV ratio measures the average profit or loss of holders by comparing market value to the average cost basis. A high reading—like the 150% peak—means most investors are sitting on significant unrealized gains.
In such cases, the risk of profit-taking rises, leading to sell pressure.
At the current 73.42% level, many holders are still in profit, but their margins are far slimmer. This drop suggests that selling pressure may ease compared to the peak, as fewer traders are sitting on oversized gains.

Historically, the trend implies that the altcoin is moving to an accumulation zone, which could drive XRP’s price to rebound.
The daily chart provides valuable insight into its potential targets. XRP’s price has formed a bullish pennant, a continuation pattern that signals the next leg higher after consolidation.
The Money Flow Index (MFI) is trending upward, supporting this setup and indicating stronger inflows and growing demand.
Together, these suggest that XRP may be ready for a breakout above the pennant’s resistance line at $3.23.
If this pattern holds, the next level for XRP to reach could be 3.67. If the market condition gets bullish as the year advances, the cryptocurrency could reach $4.95.

On the contrary, failure to break the $3.23 resistance may lead to rejection. In that instance, XRP’s market value might sink to $2.10