Key Takeaways
The crypto market has cooled off after a massive rally earlier this year.
After reaching an all-time high of $4.17 trillion in August, prices have pulled back by more than 10%.
The big question is whether this dip is just a healthy reset or a warning of bigger trouble ahead.
The crypto market has increased by nearly 500% in this bull cycle, reaching a new all-time high of $4.17 trillion at the beginning of August.
However, momentum has waned since then, triggering a short-term decline of more than 10%.
Several concerning signs are gradually developing in the long-term chart.
Firstly, TOTALCAP is likely in the fifth and final wave of its upward movement (green), which has developed into an ending diagonal.
Not only is a massive correction likely after wave five ends, but the price action has created an ascending wedge, considered a bearish pattern.
Secondly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) have generated bearish divergences (orange).

Bearish divergences in such a long-term time frame are rare and often lead to bearish trend reversals.
Additionally, these divergences usually occur at the top of wave five, further supporting the hypothesis of more downside.
However, the sub-wave count (black) predicts that another increase is likely after the short-term correction ends.
Let’s look at the shorter time frame to determine when.
The crypto market is down now, but trades at an ideal level for a bullish trend reversal.
TOTALCAP has fallen controlled inside a descending wedge, meaning the move is likely corrective.
The TOTALCAP trades at the wedge’s support trend line and the $3.71 trillion 0.382 Fibonacci retracement support level.

So, there is a confluence of several supports near the current level that suggests the bottom is close.
However, it is worth mentioning that momentum indicators are still bearish, since the RSI and MACD are both declining.
The wave count suggests the bottom is close but has not yet been reached.
According to the count, the crypto market is completing wave C of an A-B-C correction (red).

Giving waves A and C the same length leads to a bottom of $3.52 trillion, creating a throwover relative to the descending wedge.
The sub-wave count (black) supports this outlook, confirming another decline left until the correction is over.
The crypto market is down, but that is about to change. The market looks close to finishing its correction, with several strong support levels lining up.
Momentum is still weak, but the charts hint at one last move higher before the cycle tops out.
While the short-term bottom may not be here yet, the crypto market could end its correction this week.