Key Takeaways
XRP experienced a strong rise from $0.38 to $0.66 in July, but a corrective symmetrical triangle has since formed.
The key question is whether a breakout will occur or further declines are ahead. A potential recovery to $0.60 is possible, but a final drop to $0.44 may complete the correction before a bullish phase begins.
XRP rose strongly from $0.38 on July 5 to $0.66 by July 31, forming a symmetrical triangle with lower highs and higher lows since then.
This pattern indicates a corrective phase, with two possible outcomes: a breakout above resistance or further decline.
If the correction ended at the Sept. 6 low of $0.50, a new impulse wave could form, potentially pushing the price above resistance.
Alternatively, the correction could continue, forming a complete ABCDE pattern before aiming for $0.80 or higher. A more substantial rally may target $1, but further confirmation is needed.
XRP attempted a breakout on Sept. 29, reaching $0.66 but quickly falling to $0.58. On Oct. 3, the price retraced to $0.50, raising doubts about the bullish scenario. But from there, it slowly recovered to $0.55, where it currently trades.
The breakout’s indecisiveness and the subsequent decline on Oct. 3 have shaken the assumption of the next starting uptrend.
What happens around $0.50 will provide further insight into XRP’s next major move.
The hourly chart suggests a possible bounce, followed by another decline. The initial impulsive move from July 5 to 17, reaching $0.64, was followed by a sharp drop to $0.43, indicating the start of a corrective ABC wave.
The recent failed breakout could signal a second ABC, with a third still possible.
The Oct. 3 low likely marks the end of wave A, with a B wave recovery expected before a final drop to around $0.44.
This would complete the correction, setting the stage for a potential bullish phase.
A short-term recovery to $0.60 may occur, but a further decline to $0.44 is expected before the correction concludes.
After XRP clears this pattern, a new rally could potentially start.