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Ripple (XRP) Nears Breakout — Major Uptrend Could Be Next

Published
Nikola Lazic
Published
By Nikola Lazic
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • XRP completed a W-X-Y corrective pattern at major support.
  • Breakout from the descending wedge could initiate a bullish wave.
  • Fibonacci extensions suggest upside targets above $3.50.

Ripple (XRP) has experienced heightened volatility after completing a corrective wave structure, with price action suggesting a potential reversal. 

The 4-hour chart highlights a deep retracement to a key Fibonacci support level, while the 1-hour chart indicates an early impulse wave forming.

This suggests that XRP could begin a new uptrend, contingent on breaking through key resistance levels.

XRP Price Analysis

XRP recently concluded a significant corrective phase following its prior five-wave impulse rally, which peaked at around $3.40 on Jan 16.

The price retraced sharply, forming a complex W-X-Y corrective structure that found strong support near $1.80, near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.

This marked a crucial inflection point at which buyers started to regain control.

XRP price analysis
XRPUSD | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

Following this support test, XRP has been trading within a descending structure, a pattern often associated with bullish reversals.

A breakout above the wedge’s upper boundary, currently near $2.40, would confirm the reversal and shift market sentiment in favor of the bulls.

Fibonacci levels indicate key resistance at $2.69 (0.236 retracement), followed by $3.07 (0.786 retracement), which will be critical for sustaining an upward trajectory.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart remains neutral but is beginning to recover from oversold conditions.

If momentum builds, XRP could swiftly rally toward its prior highs, provided it maintains support above $1.95.

XRP Price Prediction

The 1-hour chart offers a more detailed outlook, where an early-stage five-wave impulse structure appears to form.

XRP has completed wave (i) to a high of $2.80 and is currently likely in wave (ii), consolidating within a tight range.

The next impulsive move (wave iii) could extend toward $3.07 if the price breaks the immediate resistance around $2.40.

XRP price prediction
XRPUSD | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

A bullish scenario would see XRP climbing through Fibonacci extensions, targeting $2.80 (0.618 Fib), $3.28 (1.0 Fib), and potentially $3.86 (1.618 Fib) in a full five-wave cycle.

However, a rejection at current levels could lead to a retest of the $1.95 support before a confirmed breakout.

The RSI on the lower time frame is attempting to recover from oversold conditions, suggesting a bullish divergence.

The projected wave (iii) could accelerate quickly if buying pressure increases. Traders should monitor volume and momentum indicators for confirmation.

Key Levels to Watch

  • Immediate Resistance: $2.40 (Descending channel Breakout Level).
  • Key Resistance: $2.69 (0.236 Fibonacci), $3.07 (0.786 Fibonacci).
  • Critical Support: $1.95 (0.5 Fibonacci Retracement).
  • Bullish Target: $3.86 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension).
  • Bearish Invalidation: Below $1.95 (Break of Structural Support).

XRP is positioned for a breakout, with a move above $2.40 confirming a bullish wave. If momentum holds, targets at $3.07 and beyond remain in play.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Nikola Lazic

Nikola Lazic is a cryptocurrency analyst and investor working in the industry since 2017. He holds a bachelor's degree in Sociology, which enables him to better understand the psychology behind the crowd´s positioning. Consequently his preferred analytical tool is Elliott Wave Theory in combination with price action analysis. Combining his experience in trading and investing with knowledge in content writing he strives to bring the most accurate and actionable information. Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, On-chain metrics, Research reports.
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