Key Takeaways
Venus (XVS) has experienced a prolonged downtrend, approaching a critical support zone that historically triggered price rebounds.
The daily chart suggests that the asset is nearing the completion of a corrective wave, aligning with a potential bullish reversal.
Meanwhile, the short-term analysis indicates a probable final downward movement before a significant uptrend begins.
XVS has been in a prolonged corrective phase, forming a WXY structure on the daily chart. The price is currently approaching a significant support zone around $3.50–$4.50, which historically acted as a strong accumulation area.
This level coincides with previous wave (ii) lows and aligns with a potential completion in the ongoing correction.
The descending trendline from previous highs remains a crucial resistance level, currently positioned near $7.50.
A breakout above this level would confirm a shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains near oversold conditions, reinforcing the likelihood of a reversal from the key demand zone.
If price fails to hold this support, deeper downside risks toward $2.50 emerge, though this remains a less likely scenario given historical price behavior.
The 4-hour chart suggests that XVS is in the final stages of its corrective decline, with wave (c) nearing completion.
The most probable short-term scenario involves one last downward move to test the $3.00 region before a strong rebound occurs.
Fibonacci retracement levels indicate that the 0.618 support at $4.12 could serve as a local bottom before a reversal begins.
If this level holds, the next impulsive wave could drive XVS toward the $6.00–$7.50 resistance zone in the coming weeks.
Upon confirmation of the wave (c) bottom, the first key resistance is expected around $5.50, followed by a more significant barrier at $7.50, where the descending trendline intersects.
If momentum continues, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension projects a rally toward $9.00 as the next major target.
However, a failure to hold the $4.00–$4.50 range could invalidate this outlook and open the door to deeper retracements.
If bearish pressure persists, the next critical support rests at $3.00. The RSI will be crucial in confirming a reversal, with a move above 50 signaling renewed bullish strength.
If XVS successfully holds the $4.00 region and rebounds, a bullish impulse toward $7.50 and beyond is highly probable.