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Tron (TRX) Clings to Support as Price Consolidates Above $0.25

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

  • Data shows over 4.25 billion TRX bought around $0.25, indicating strong support and reduced downside risk.
  • With fewer tokens held at a loss between $0.27 and $0.31, TRX faces minimal resistance to higher levels.
  • TRX has been range-bound between $0.21 and $0.27, showing market indecision but resilience above $0.25.

Tron (TRX) is one of the few top 10 altcoins that have registered a positive return on a year-to-date (YTD) basis. Yet, the cryptocurrency’s price is still down 38% from its all-time high.

Despite that, TRX’s price has failed to undergo any notable correction within the past month. Instead, it has been consolidating for the past few weeks while trading above $0.25.

Will the cryptocurrency eventually move closer to its all-time high or not? Let’s find out.

TRX Resists Correction

CCN’s findings show that Tron’s price has resisted a notable decline due to the support between $0.23 and $0.26. According to IntoTheBlock data, the In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP) shows that the volume of unrealized profits accumulated at these prices far outweighs that of unrealized losses.

For instance, we observed that 3.67 million addresses purchased 4.25 billion coins between $0.24 and $0.25, which is in the money.

Typically, the higher the volume “in the money,” the more substantial the support. However, when the cluster of coins “out of the money” is larger, it indicates resistance.

As seen below, the combined volume of coins from the money bought between $0.27 and $0.31 was not up to 4.25 billion. Therefore, due to the weak sell wall, TRX’s price will likely break past these zones in the near term.

TRX price support
TRX In/Out of Money Around Price | Credit: IntoTheBlock

However, technical indicators reveal that the potential run above $0.31 might not happen quickly. For example, on the daily chart, TRX price has been swinging between $0.21 and $0.27, indicating that bulls and bears have almost equal dominance on the altcoin.

Also, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) reading is positive. The AO compares recent price action with historic performance to measure momentum.

Typically, when the AO is positive, momentum is bullish. However, a negative reading indicates bearish momentum.

However, as of this writing, the AO has flashed red histogram bars, indicating that bullish momentum is fading. If sustained, the Tron’s price might continue trading sideways.

Tron price analysis
TRX/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

TRX Price Analysis: Breakout or Breakdown?

The 4-hour setup shows that TRX’s price trades within a symmetrical triangle with no clear direction yet. However, signs from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) seem to align with that shown by the IOMAP.

The MACD reading is positive, and the 12 EMA (blue) has crossed over the 26 EMA (orange).  Should this trend remain the same, the TRX price will likely break out of the upper trendline of the symmetrical triangle.

If successful, Tron’s next target could be a run above $0.30. On the other hand, a breakdown below the pattern’s lower trendline might invalidate this bias.

TRX short-term price analysis
TRX/USD 4-Hour Chart | Credit: TradingView

The cryptocurrency’s market value might slide below $0.24 in that scenario.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space. With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run. He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives. In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends. At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.
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