Key Takeaways
The SUI price has increased rapidly since the beginning of the year. After a correction from March to August, SUI started another upward movement and has continuously made new all-time highs since October.
More recently, SUI reached a high of $4.98 on Dec. 16. SUI’s Total Value Locked (TVL) and volume mirrors the price increase, confirming it is backed by on-chain activity.
With that in mind, let’s look at the SUI price action in different time frames to determine how long the upward movement will continue.
The weekly time frame chart shows that SUI has increased by 520% since the start of the year. The rally accelerated in November after SUI broke out from the previous all-time high and validated it as support (white icon).
The second portion of the upward movement follows a parabolic ascending support trend line (white), which, while unsustainable in the long term, can lead to considerable gains in the short term.
More recently, SUI bounced at the trend line (black circle) last week, creating a long lower wick. The trend line is at $4.10, and the bullish trend remains intact as long as the parabolic trend line remains in place.
Technical indicators show overbought conditions but no apparent weakness. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are increasing, and neither has generated any bearish divergence.
Nevertheless, since the price is at an all-time high, looking at the wave count can help determine the next targets for a possible top.
The most likely long-term wave count suggests the SUI price is nearing the top of wave three in a five-wave increase (white). The breakout from a long-term ascending parallel channel confirms this increase is impulsive.
Wave three is 1.61 times the length of wave one, so it may be nearing its end. If there is another extension, the next most likely target will be $6.66.
Unlike the weekly time frame, a bearish divergence (green) is developing in the 3-day one, a sign that the upward movement may end soon.
If that happens, the SUI price could begin wave four, possibly returning to validate the channel’s resistance near $2.20 as support.
The short-term count aligns with this possibility. The sub-wave count shows a completed five-wave upward movement that creates wave three.
Sub-wave five developed into an ending diagonal, as evidenced by the ascending wedge pattern. This further reiterates the possibility that the upward movement is over.
Similarly to the daily time frame, the RSI has generated a bearish divergence. If so, the SUI price could correct toward the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement support region at $2.18 – $2.71, completing wave four.
The SUI price increase in 2024 has been impressive, to say the least. While the price continuously makes new highs, the wave count, price action, and indicator readings suggest that SUI will reach its top soon.
As a result, the price could correct in the short term before the upward movement resumes sometime in 2025.