Key Takeaways
Despite the alarm bells it rang in September, Stellar’s (XLM) price seems ready to turn things around. A few weeks ago, XLM’s price dropped to a multi-month low of $0.35 amid rising selling pressure.
Today, the altcoin has bounced off that low, indicating that the bearish setup may have been invalidated. But where exactly can XLM go from here?
Between mid-September and the end of the month, XLM’s price struggled to gain traction. The altcoin failed to form clear lower or higher highs, remaining trapped within a descending channel that resulted in a lower-than-expected monthly return.
Now, though, momentum appears to be shifting. At the time of writing, XLM has formed a bull flag, a pattern that typically signals the potential end of a downtrend.
As seen below, the cryptocurrency has bounced off the lower trendline of the flag and is now testing the upper boundary.
Adding to the bullish setup, the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have printed a golden cross. This occurred as the 20-day EMA (blue) crossed above the 50-day EMA (yellow), reinforcing the bullish momentum behind it.
If this crossover holds, XLM’s price could be primed for a strong upside continuation. Should this trend persist, XLM bulls may continue to defend the support at $0.35.

Due to this, the cryptocurrency’s value might retest the resistance at $0.46.
Examining the daily chart, XLM’s structure resembles the bullish thesis presented on the lower timeframes.
In this case, the altcoin appears to be on the verge of breaking out above the upper trendline of a symmetrical triangle. This formation signals the continuation of an uptrend after a period of consolidation.
The tightening price range suggests that buyers are gradually building strength, and a move above the triangle could confirm a breakout.
If that happens, it would likely open the door for an extended uptrend, reinforcing the broader bullish reversal that has been developing since late September.
Amid this setup, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) has flipped into the positive region, signaling that bullish momentum is building across the market.
If this trend continues, XLM’s price could break through the resistance at $0.47. If so, it could pave the way for a rally toward $0.54 at the 0.786 Fibonacci level, representing a potential 35% increase from its current value.

However, the breakout may stall if buying pressure weakens, leading to a prolonged consolidation phase.
On the other hand, in a highly bearish scenario, the market could lose traction and slide back toward $0.30.