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RUNE Price Slumps to 20-Month Low Amid 60% Liquidity Crash on THORChain

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

The price of RUNE, the native token of the decentralized liquidity protocol THORChain, has plunged to its lowest level this year.  This performance has raised alarm bells about the future of the cryptocurrency.

However, RUNE’s price is not the only aspect of the cross-chain protocol that has experienced a notable decline. Beneath the surface of the many red candlesticks is a sharp decline in liquidity on THORChain.

As capital continues to exit, the protocol accelerates, and this analysis examines what lies ahead for RUNE.

THORChain on the Ropes

THORChain released its first quarter (Q1) report on Tuesday, April 9. According to the report, it processed nearly $20 billion in trading volume with swaps, mostly between Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and RUNE.

However, it revealed that liquidity on the chain declined from $329 million to $127 million within the same quarter — a 60% drop.

“Liquidity on the network decreased from $329 million to $127 million, while liquidity providers earned $14.41 million in fees, with 91.36% of earnings derived from swap fees and 8.64% from block rewards. The top swap routes by volume were BTC, ETH, and RUNE,” The report stated.

From CCN’s findings, the decline in liquidity occurred due to the cautious approach of market participants. As a result, demand for RUNE also decreased.

RUNE Slips Below Key Support

The decrease in demand and rising selling pressure caused RUNE’s price to crash to $1. While this represents a yearly low, it also indicates the lowest the cryptocurrency has reached since August 2023.

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On the weekly chart, RUNE’s price fell to this low after bulls failed to defend support at $3.02. Amid this decline, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is down to 31.99, indicating bearish momentum.

RUNE weekly price analysis
RUNE/USD Weekly Chart | Credit: TradingView

If unchanged, RUNE might experience another drawdown far below the $1 mark. In addition, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), as seen above, has dropped below the zero signal line, indicating rising distribution.

Should this trend continue, RUNE’s price might fall to levels last seen during the 2022 bear market.

RUNE Price Crash to Continue

During the daily timeframe, RUNE’s price is still confined to a descending triangle. As seen below, the horizontal support lies around $1.

Furthermore, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) has dropped below the zero line. The position of this indicator signifies bearish momentum around the cryptocurrency.

Should the AO reading fail to turn positive, RUNE’s price might decline to $0.83, with the potential to fall further. However, in a bullish market condition, RUNE might overturn this expected correction.

RUNE price short-term targets
RUNE/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

In that scenario, the token might see a jump toward the $3.33 mark near the 0.236 Fibonacci level.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju is a seasoned crypto reporter at CCN, currently based in Lagos, Nigeria. His journey into crypto began in 2017, but it wasn't until 2020—after receiving a slice of the Uniswap airdrop—that things truly clicked. At the time, Victor was learning the ropes of copywriting. That turning point led him to a role as a crypto copywriter for an affiliate marketing firm working with top crypto brokers. At the firm, he produced educational content and price predictions that significantly boosted visibility and conversions for clients, including a standout XRP price prediction that topped Google SERPs during the 2021 bull run. Victor transitioned into crypto journalism in 2022, joining AMBCrypto as a writer and analyst. There, he sharpened his skills in on-chain and technical analysis, playing a part in the outlet’s growth into a top-tier crypto media platform. In 2024, he continued his journey at BeInCrypto, where he worked with the analytics team using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, CryptoQuant, and IntoTheBlock to deliver in-depth reports on Bitcoin, altcoins, and memecoins. Now at CCN, Victor specializes in real-time news, on-chain metrics, and technical analysis. He holds a Bachelor's degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan—a background that allows him to simplify complex technical insights for a broader audience while keeping content engaging, factual and impactful.
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