Key Takeaways
Pi Coin has finally broken out above its long-term resistance for the first time since its launch.
Despite this technical breakout, price action has failed to show strong follow-through, leaving traders uncertain about whether further losses lie ahead.
With PI still trading nearly 95 percent below its initial peak and hovering around a crucial support level, the next move could define its trajectory for 2026.
Here is what the charts are currently signaling.
The price of PI has been in a steep downward trend since its launch in March.
To date, the token has lost roughly 95 percent of its value, bottoming at $0.152 on October 10.
After that low, PI attempted a recovery but initially failed to break above its descending resistance line.
That changed on Nov. 19 (green icon), when PI finally pushed above the long-term trend line.
Breakouts from extended resistance structures typically signal the start of sustained upward moves.

However, PI has yet to confirm that scenario, as the price has fallen below its breakout level.
As long as PI holds above the $0.195 support, the possibility of a broader trend reversal remains intact, but bullish conviction is weakening.
A closer examination of the price action and momentum indicators provides little support for a bullish case.
PI has been rejected twice at the $0.27 horizontal resistance zone (red icons).
The latest rejection triggered a fresh decline that remains in progress.

Momentum indicators also favor the bears.
Together, these signals indicate that downside pressure remains present.
If selling continues, the PI price could crash to a new all-time low.
Short-term price structure further weakens the bullish outlook.
PI broke down from a descending parallel channel, signaling a bearish impulse.
If PI had bounced at the channel’s support trend line, it could have begun a bullish trend reversal.

However, the breakdown from the channel suggests that new lows are likely.
Until the channel is reclaimed, upside attempts are expected to remain limited, with any rallies likely lacking sustainability.
PI Coin is now at a crucial crossroads.
While the long-term breakout initially raised optimism, fading momentum, repeated resistance rejections, and bearish indicator readings all suggest one more decline may occur before any meaningful recovery.
If PI manages to reclaim its short-term channel, it could start a short-term bounce.
Failure to do so, however, would invalidate the bullish thesis and open the door to new lows.
Traders should pay close attention to how the price reacts at this support level, as it may determine Pi Coin’s direction for the remainder of the year.