The ONDO token unlock is scheduled for Jan. 18. According to data from Tokenomist, the project will release 1.94 billion tokens, valued at $2.42 billion—the largest this week.
Typically, this sort of event means teams, early investors, and a part of the community can now trade, sell, or decide to HODL their tokens.
But in most cases, this causes a supply shock, and the price decreases amid high volatility.
Given the conditions above and the weight of the unlock, ONDO’s price might experience an accelerated downturn toward the event.
ONDO Token Unlock | Credit: Tokenomist
As of this writing, ONDO’s price is $1.13, representing a 46.90% drawdown from its all-time high of $2.14.
However, according to data analyzed from Santiment, ONDO might recover a significant portion of its recent losses following the token unlock.
On-chain data reveals that the balance held by addresses owning between 100 million and 1 billion ONDO has notably increased.
As of Jan. 6, this cohort’s balance stood at -160.22 million ONDO, reflecting substantial selling pressure.
However, as of today, the figure has improved to -146.02 million tokens, indicating that these whales have accumulated 14.20 million ONDO—worth approximately $16 million—over the past week.
ONDO Price Prediction: Falling Wedge Reveals Possible Rally
From a technical perspective, ONDO has formed a falling wedge on the 4-hour chart.
A falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern created by drawing two descending trendlines. One line connects the lower highs, and the other links the lows. Typically, as the lines converge, a breakout happens once buying pressure comes into play.
In ONDO’s case, the token trades around the $1.14 support. If it continues to hold this line, then a rebound could be on the card.
Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also hit an oversold area. For context, a cryptocurrency is overbought when the RSI surpasses a reading of 70.
However, as of this writing, the reading is below 30. This indicates that the token is oversold, and a bullish reversal could be close.
If that remains the case, ONDO’s price might jump 55% to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. If validated, the token might climb to $1.76 in the short term.
ONDO 4-Hour Chart | Credit: TradingView
On the other hand, if significant buying pressure fails to show up after the token unlocks, this prediction might not come to pass. In that scenario, ONDO’s price might drop below the $1 mark and invalidate the bullish thesis.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space.
With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run.
He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives.
In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends.
At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics.
He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.
