Key Takeaways
Two major token unlocks are set to hit the market this weekend, creating selling pressure in an already bearish market.
Starknet will release a sizable chunk of its supply on Nov. 15, followed by Arbitrum’s unlock on Nov. 16.
Both assets have been struggling with downward momentum, and traders are watching closely to see whether these events deepen the existing bearish trends.
Starknet will unlock more than 5% of its circulating supply on Nov. 15.
However, it still pales in comparison to the December unlock, whose exact amount is still undetermined but could almost double the supply.
Hence, Starknet will likely experience significant inflation in the future, exacerbating the already bearish price trend.

Starknet’s decrease since November 2024 has been swift, resulting in a low of $0.034 before the price rebounded.
However, the downward movement has slowed down since May, creating a descending parallel channel.
The STRK price has decreased inside this channel since then, bouncing between the support and resistance trend lines.
More recently, it attempted a failed breakout (red icon) on November 10, confirming the channel’s resistance trendline and the $0.190 horizontal area.
Currently, the STRK price is trading in the upper portion of the channel.
Momentum indicators give no clear direction for the future trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are in bullish territory.

However, they have been in an unclear trend for several months, moving freely above and below 50 and 0.
Therefore, the future trend of Starknet remains unclear. The price may continue consolidating inside the triangle for a while before eventually deciding on the direction of the future trend.
Arbitrum will unlock nearly 2% of its supply on November 16, as part of a linear unlock schedule that has been ongoing for more than a year.
The linear unlock schedule will continue until April 20217, at which point the emissions will end.
Although Arbitrum’s unlock is smaller than that of Starknet, it is still substantial and could add more selling pressure to an already declining price.

The ARB price has fallen since August and recently broke down from a diagonal support before validating it as resistance (red icon).
Today, the ARB price broke down from the $0.26 horizontal support area and fell to a low of $0.230 before bouncing.

As long as the price of Arbitrum trades below this level, the long-term trend remains bearish.
If the decline continues, the next closest support level will be at $0.136, created by the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement support level.
With both STRK and ARB facing fresh supply entering the market, the next few days may be pivotal for their price action.
Starknet’s larger emission and long-term inflation risk add weight to an already fragile chart. Arbitrum’s breakdown below support suggests new lows are likely.
These unlocks could create new lows, exacerbating the existing bearish structure.