Key Takeaways
Gnosis (GNO) tests a critical support zone at the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level after a prolonged corrective phase.
A descending trendline has acted as resistance, limiting bullish breakouts.
GNO is approaching the end of a corrective structure with a potential for reversal.
The daily chart of GNO reveals a prolonged downtrend after peaking at $445 on Mar. 11. 2024. The correction has formed a symmetrical triangle, with the price now testing the lower boundary of a triangle formation.
The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at approximately $160 has been a significant historical support zone, previously leading to strong rebounds.
The daily chart’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows oversold conditions, indicating that the selling momentum may be exhausted.
The presence of a confluence zone, formed by both the horizontal support area and the lower triangle boundary, makes this a crucial level for potential trend reversal.
If the price confirms support at this level, a breakout from the descending resistance line could lead to a recovery toward $222 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement) and $265 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement).
A failure to hold above $160 could invalidate the bullish scenario, opening the door for further downside toward the $85 level (1.0 Fibonacci retracement), marking the last major support from the previous cycle.
The 4-hour chart provides further clarity on GNO’s potential short-term movements.
The price action suggests that GNO is forming a complex ABCDE corrective pattern, with wave wave (C) nearing completion.
A breakout from this structure could lead to a strong, impulsive move upward.
The immediate resistance to watch is at $222 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement). A successful breakout above this level could push GNO toward the wave (D) target at around $240.
If bullish momentum sustains, the next major resistance is $265 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement), a historically relevant price level.
Alternatively, a rejection could lead to further consolidation within the triangle, with the price potentially revisiting the $160-$150 region.
If selling pressure increases, GNO could break below the structure, with the next major support sitting at $85.
The RSI on the 4-hour chart is recovering from oversold conditions, which may signal the beginning of a bullish move.
Confirmation of volume expansion alongside a breakout would strengthen the case for a short-term uptrend.