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AMP Price Struggles to Recover After Reaching Oversold Levels

Published
Nikola Lazic
Published
By Nikola Lazic
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • Falling wedge nearing a potential breakout
  • Key support at 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level
  • Bullish RSI divergence signals a possible reversal

Amp (AMP) has been in a prolonged downtrend, forming a falling wedge structure on the daily chart. This classic reversal pattern suggests the potential for a bullish breakout.

Additionally, AMP has reached a key support zone at the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, where historical price reactions indicate strong demand.

The lower time frame chart reinforces this perspective, with a potential local bottom forming and an Elliott Wave count suggesting an impending reversal.

AMP Price Analysis

AMP’s daily chart displays a well-defined falling wedge pattern, a bullish structure that typically precedes a breakout.

The price has been declining since hitting its peak of $0.014 in December and has now reached the crucial 0.786 Fibonacci retracement at $0.00447, a historically significant support zone.

This green demand zone has been tested multiple times, making it a potential bottoming area.

AMP price analysis
AMPUSD | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily time frame is deeply oversold, indicating exhaustion of selling pressure. This suggests that a price reversal could be imminent, aligning with the end of the wedge structure.

Additionally, the price action shows a five-wave corrective sequence, with the current level potentially marking the final wave (e) of an ABCDE correction.

A breakout above the upper wedge resistance could trigger a significant rally, with the next targets at $0.00731 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement) and $0.00912 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement).

If AMP fails to hold above this support, further downside towards $0.00148 (1.0 Fibonacci retracement) could be in play. However, this scenario remains less likely given the current oversold conditions and bullish divergence in RSI.

AMP Price Prediction

The 1-hour chart offers a closer look at the potential reversal setup. AMP has recently made a low of nearly $0.00447, slightly below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, and is still trending downward.

The Elliott Wave structure suggests that the price is at the tail end of a five-wave corrective phase labeled ABCDE, priming it for an impulsive recovery.

AMP price prediction
AMPUSD | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

If AMP successfully breaks out of the falling wedge, the first major resistance to test is $0.00550, aligning with local price action resistance.

Beyond this, a measured move based on Fibonacci extensions places wave (iii) targets at $0.00731 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement) and $0.00912 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement).

These levels represent strong confluence zones where the price may face temporary rejections before continuation.

Failure to hold above the $0.00447 support could invalidate the bullish outlook, leading to further downside.

However, given the strong RSI divergence and falling wedge structure, a short-term rebound remains the more probable scenario.

A successful confirmation of a higher low would further support the case for an upward move in the coming sessions.

Key Levels to Watch

  • Immediate Resistance: $0.00550 (local price action resistance).
  • Key Resistance: $0.00731 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement).
  • Major Resistance: $0.00912 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement).
  • Immediate Support: $0.00447 (0.786 Fibonacci retracement).
  • Critical Support: $0.00350 (potential final demand zone).

A breakout above the wedge structure could confirm a reversal, targeting higher Fibonacci levels, while a failure to hold key support could signal extended downside risk.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Nikola Lazic

Nikola Lazic is a cryptocurrency analyst and investor working in the industry since 2017. He holds a bachelor's degree in Sociology, which enables him to better understand the psychology behind the crowd´s positioning. Consequently his preferred analytical tool is Elliott Wave Theory in combination with price action analysis. Combining his experience in trading and investing with knowledge in content writing he strives to bring the most accurate and actionable information. Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, On-chain metrics, Research reports.
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