Key Takeaways
Cardano (ADA) price action once looked like a steady uptrend. But as of this writing, it has turned fragile following its 10% decline over the past week.
While Cardano’s price has weathered huge sell-offs before, the current situation does not look like one of those times. Instead, the technical setup looks weak, with indicators predicting it could trade lower.
Unlike its earlier setup, Cardano’s price has slipped into a descending parallel channel, signaling mounting bearish pressure. At the same time, the MACD reading has dipped into negative territory, confirming the shift in momentum.
The chart also reveals a bearish crossover, with the 12 EMA (blue) sliding below the 26 EMA (orange). This formation typically strengthens selling signals and raises the likelihood of further downside unless buyers step in to defend key support levels.
However, while ADA has failed to break the resistance at $0.93, it now risks falling below key support levels. As of this writing, the altcoin is flirting with support at $0.84.
Failure to hold that level could lead to another decline with $0.77 as the next support level.

From an on-chain perspective, Cardano’s outlook tilts bearish. The Daily Active Addresses (DAA) divergence has plunged to -115.02%, a drop that signals waning network activity relative to price action.
This divergence suggests that recent price action moves lack strong user support, making rallies unsustainable. When fewer addresses interact on-chain, it usually points to weakening demand and potential exhaustion among buyers.
Therefore, if this trend persists, ADA’s price could face increased selling pressure, raising the risk of downward pressure in the coming days.

Cardano’s price has formed a head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart, seen as a bearish reversal signal.
Adding to this weakness, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has slipped below the zero line, showing that selling pressure outweighs buying volume.
At the same time, the Bull Bear Power (BBP) has dropped into negative territory, confirming the loss of bullish momentum.
Together, these signals strengthen the case for a potential downtrend, with ADA at risk of an extended decline.
Should this trend remain the same, ADA’s price could fall below the support at $0.77.
If that happens, the next target for Cardano might be a decline to $0.67 at the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level.

On the contrary, if the BBP turns positive, buyers might help ADA break the resistance at $0.93. If that were to happen, this prediction might be invalidated, and ADA might bounce to $1.19.