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Kaspa Price Action Signals 65% Breakout as Bullish Pattern Takes Shape

Published
Valdrin Tahiri
Published
By Valdrin Tahiri
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

KAS was one of the best performers in the crypto market during 2023, and it carried its momentum into the early months of 2024.

However, the tides shifted after July 2024, after which KAS lost nearly 75% of its value.

Nevertheless, the downward movement slowed in March and April, creating a bullish pattern.

Market sentiment is beginning to shift, but the key question is whether KAS can break out and reclaim its previous losses.

Kaspa’s Lengthy Correction

The weekly KAS outlook shows that the price completed a five-wave upward movement between June 2022 and July 2024 (green).

The increase led to the all-time high price of $0.207. However, the tides shifted afterward, and KAS fell over 70%, reaching a low of $0.052.

Kaspa’s correction looks like an A-B-C structure (red), which might have ended with this week’s bounce. The low reached a Fibonacci and horizontal support area.

KAS Long-Term
KAS/USDT Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Despite the bounce, technical indicators do not show any bullish signs. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are falling.

The RSI is below 50, and the MACD is negative, indicating a bearish trend.

So, the weekly time frame does not indicate whether the correction will continue for another low or whether it is over.

Kaspa’s Bullish Pattern

The daily time frame suggests the lengthy correction is over. The short-term count shows a completed five-wave decline (black) that creates wave C.

Wave five developed into an ending diagonal, evident by the descending wedge shape. Waves three and five also created a double bottom pattern.

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Technical indicators are also bullish, supporting the conclusion of the correction.

The RSI and MACD have generated bullish divergences (orange) during the wave three and five lows.

These divergences are associated with bullish trend reversals and fit perfectly with the count.

KAS Wedge
KAS/USDT Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

If the Kaspa price breaks out, it can increase by 65% and reach the $0.11 horizontal resistance area.

Kaspa Breakout Incoming

Kaspa finally shows signs of life after a 75% price decline by creating a bullish pattern.

The wave count and indicator readings support the breakout from the wedge.

If Kaspa breaks out, it could increase toward the $0.11 horizontal resistance area.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics in 2017. He has been an avid investor and trader since. Valdrin has written for several cryptocurrency media companies such as BeInCrypto and CoinGape. His areas of expertise include technical, on-chain and fundamental analysis.
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