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$170K Bitcoin (BTC) or Crypto Winter? Here Are the Biggest Predictions for New Year 2026

Published 02 January 2026
Victor Olanrewaju
Authors

Key Takeaways

  • Despite a 29% decline from its peak, analysts see a “low-probability” BTC path to $170,000.
  • Ethereum’s price has reclaimed the $3,000 level and is moving within an ascending channel.
  • XRP is currently trading at $1.90 within a falling wedge that could see it break out above $2.31.

2025 has come and gone, and for those who sold Bitcoin (BTC) around September and October, it was a good year.

However, since reaching its all-time high in October, Bitcoin’s price has declined by 29%.

Yet, some analysts believe that the coin will reach a new all-time high.

Whether that’s true or not, CCN examines the possibility. In this analysis, we also examined the short- to mid-term potential of Ethereum (ETH) and XRP.

Bitcoin

XWIN Research, a Japan-based crypto research firm, noted that BTC has the potential to reach $170,000 this year.

Via the post, the analysis outlined how the prediction is a low-probability scenario that relies on early interest rate easing and stabilized ETF inflows.

However, the path remains difficult as Fed officials recently signaled that a January rate cut is unlikely.

Without this catalyst, Bitcoin’s price may struggle to break its current downtrend.

Currently, the market lacks a clear bullish trend and remains stuck in a high-volatility range. Consequently, it added that the most likely scenario sees BTC trading between $80,000 and $140,000, driven by short-term ETF activity.

“If easing expectations materialize early and ETF inflows stabilize, Bitcoin could extend toward $120k–$170k, with higher levels possible only under multiple favorable conditions,” It explained via CryptoQuant.

From a technical perspective, the daily chart indicates that Bitcoin’s price remains trapped within a symmetrical triangle.

However, it has failed to drop below the lower trendline of the triangle. Amid this, the Money Flow Index (MFI) reading has increased, indicating rising buying pressure.

Specifically, bulls have defended the support at $85,712. If this trend persists, BTC could reach $91,618 soon.

Bitcoin price analysis
BTC/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

In a highly bullish scenario, the market value could reach $98,221 by the end of this month.

However, if the broader market condition turns extremely bearish, it could lead to a crypto winter. If that were to happen, Bitcoin’s price might decline to $80,946.

Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis

Besides Bitcoin, ETH is also one of the biggest crypto predictions to look out for in 2026.

Like BTC, Ethereum’s price also hit a new high in 2025. However, it failed to hit $5,000.

Currently, it is 38% down from the peak. Yet, it has bounced above $3,000 again.

At the time of writing, Ethereum’s price is in an ascending channel, suggesting that it could experience a recovery this month.

But that depends on several indicators. For instance, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) reading is yet to rise to the positive region.

However, since it has flashed green bars, it indicates that momentum is shifting from bearish to bullish.

Ethereum price analysis
ETH/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

Additionally, ETH has surpassed the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Should it maintain its position above this support zone, it could rise to $3,512 soon.

On the contrary, if the buying volume fades, this prediction may not materialize. Instead, Ethereum’s price might decline to $2,621.

XRP Price Analysis

Lastly, the biggest crypto predictions will not be complete without XRP.

At the time of writing, XRP’s price trades at $1.90. However, the daily chart shows that it is locked in a falling wedge.

However, the entire structure is not yet bullish. This is because the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) reading is still negative.

But as it stands, the XRP market value might breach the upper trendline. If that happens, it will likely rise to the upper-level resistance at $2.11.

XRP 2026 price outlook crypto
XRP/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

In a highly bullish scenario, it could rise to $2.31. However, if selling pressure intensifies, the market value might decline below $1.77.

If bears take complete control, XRP might slide as low as $1.50.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Victor Olanrewaju

Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space.

With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run.

He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives.

In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends.

At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics.

He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.

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