Key Takeaways
Cardano (ADA) has experienced a significant correction, with price action forming key technical patterns on both higher and lower timeframes.
Will it proceed to recovery, or will the decline continue?
The 4-hour chart reveals ADA completing an ABC corrective wave. Wave C bottomed on Feb. 3 at $0.51, slightly below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement.
This suggests a major correction may be complete, forming a potential reversal zone.
Before this correction, ADA had undergone an impulsive five-wave rally, peaking at $1.31 on Dec. 3. Following the correction, price action attempted to recover but found resistance near $0.81 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement), highlighting a key decision point for the asset.
A descending channel pattern is evident on the chart, signaling a possible breakout. It could confirm a trend
shift if ADA clears the $1.02- $1.13 zone.
However, failure to break above resistance may result in extended consolidation or another leg downward.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart has rebounded from oversold territory, suggesting growing bullish momentum.
On the 1-hour chart, a lower-degree Elliott Wave impulse pattern is forming, hinting at a potential upturn.
The price is currently in a corrective wave (ii) at around $0.72 within a descending channel after wave (i) bounced from critical support, reaching $0.81. The current structure often leads to an upward breakout.
If the pattern holds, ADA could initiate a wave (iii) surge above the $0.93 level, targeting $1.02, with a possible final extension in wave (v) targeting $1.12.
These levels align with the 0.382 and 0.236 Fibonacci retracements, providing resistance zones to watch.
However, if ADA fails to break the falling wedge structure, a bearish alternative suggests another dip toward $0.60–$0.65, testing deeper support before any bullish continuation.
The RSI remains neutral, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, making price reaction at key levels crucial for trend confirmation.