Key Takeaways
As regulatory clarity improves and new investment vehicles emerge, institutions increasingly consolidate around significant assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Meanwhile, retail traders are shifting toward riskier, lower-cap tokens and memecoins.
Wintermute highlights how this split influences trading volumes and market structure, particularly in the over-the-counter (OTC) space, where institutional demand appears to be gaining momentum.
Wintermute CEO Evgeny Gaevoy has highlighted a growing Ethereum (ETH) scarcity on OTC trading platforms, signaling strong institutional demand.
Institutions are also leveraging derivatives for hedging and yield generation. “This divergence isn’t temporary—it’s the sign of a more mature, sophisticated, and specialized crypto market,” Gaevoy shared in a report.
Institutions are increasingly anchoring their crypto strategies around Bitcoin (BTC) and ETH, treating them as macro assets in portfolios—a shift supported by ETF inflows and structured accumulation vehicles.
Over-the-counter options volume jumped 412% in the first half of 2025, and Wintermute’s OTC spot trading volumes outpaced centralized exchanges.
Traditional finance firms emerged as the fastest-growing segment. OTC volumes rose 32% year-over-year, driven by regulatory clarity from laws like the U.S. GENIUS Act and the EU’s MiCA rollout.
While institutions consolidate around BTC and ETH, retail investors increasingly favor speculative altcoins and memecoins.
Retail exposure to BTC and ETH dropped from 46% to 37%, as traders chase high-risk, high-reward opportunities in newer tokens.
Wintermute reports that although overall retail trading in memecoins declined, the number of tokens traded per user doubled, suggesting rising interest in micro-cap assets.
Legacy memecoins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu are losing traction to a growing wave of niche, fragmented tokens.
Retail broker volumes rose 21% year-over-year, while crypto-native firms saw a 5% drop.
This divergence underscores the evolving nature of retail behavior—dynamic, risk-on, and innovation-focused—distinct from the institutional playbook.