Key Takeaways
Ethereum’s price outlook has returned to the spotlight after Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee said the crypto had broken higher against Bitcoin, arguing the move could signal the beginning of a broader crypto rally.
One Ethereum bull account has gone so far as to claim that ETH could reach $5,000 within just 10 days, a move that would set a new all-time high but would require the crypto to rise another 165%.
With Ethereum climbing approximately 5.5% to $1,884 over the past 24 hours, outperforming Bitcoin, but is a move of that magnitude likely?
Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee said Ethereum had completed an upside breakout against Bitcoin, arguing that the move could signal a wider recovery across the crypto market.
“Upside breakout happened for $ETH / $BTC,” Lee wrote on X.
“Good sign that broadening crypto rally underway,” he added. “Tokenization driving fundamental growth.”
Lee shared a three-month Binance chart showing the ETH/BTC ratio moving above resistance at 0.0285-0.029 following a prolonged downtrend.
The ratio measures Ethereum’s performance relative to Bitcoin.
When it rises, ETH gains value against BTC, even if they are not rising by the same amount in dollar terms.
Lee had previously identified the ratio as an important signal for a potential crypto revival around his appearance at WebX Asia in Tokyo, where he spoke about the “Uncanny Valley of Wealth.”
Lee’s comments came as Ethereum rose 5.5% over 24 hours to approximately $1,884, outperforming a broader crypto market rally.
CoinMarketCap analysis attributed the increase primarily to softer-than-expected US inflation figures.
Annual inflation came in at 3.5%, below forecasts of 3.8%, while consumer prices recorded their sharpest monthly decline since May 2020.
The shift in interest rate expectations encouraged renewed demand for cryptocurrencies and other risk-sensitive assets.
CoinMarketCap identified support near $1,802 and the next major resistance around $1,909.
A move above that level could place $2,018 within reach, while a return below $1,842 would weaken the latest bullish pattern.
The rebound has encouraged some of Ethereum’s most vocal supporters to issue significantly more aggressive predictions.
“ETH is going to $5,000 in the next 10 days,” the Ethereum Maxis account wrote on X on July 14.
The account, which regularly publishes Ethereum metrics and promotes the network’s growth, later doubled down on the forecast.
“ETH is absurdly undervalued, what I am saying is conservative,” it added.
As Ethereum traded between $1,800 and $2,000 when the claim was made, the prediction requires the crypto to more than double in less than two weeks.
Most 2026 year-end forecasts have been considerably lower, generally placing Ethereum between $2,500 and $3,500.
Lee’s latest breakout comments add to a long-running bullish thesis that has produced several ambitious Ethereum price targets.
He previously argued that Ethereum could reach approximately $12,000 if Bitcoin climbed to $250,000 and the ETH/BTC ratio returned to its longer-term average.
Lee said a return to the ratio’s 2021 high could instead place Ethereum near $22,000.
Those scenarios depend on Bitcoin rising substantially and Ethereum recovering much of the ground it has lost against the world’s largest cryptocurrency.
Lee has also outlined a far more bullish long-term scenario in which ETH eventually reaches $250,000.
He argued that artificial intelligence, stablecoin adoption, and the tokenization of financial assets could produce a significant revaluation of the Ethereum network.
From a price of $1,884.08, Ethereum would need to increase by $3,115.92 to reach $5,000.
That represents a gain of approximately 165.4%, meaning ETH would need to become around 2.65 times more valuable within the Ethereum Maxis account’s 10-day window.
If the increase occurred at a consistent compounded rate, Ethereum would need to gain slightly more than 10% every day for 10 consecutive days.
Reaching $5,000 would also take Ethereum marginally above its previous record, producing a new all-time high.
Lee’s predictions require even larger increases.
Ethereum would need to grow approximately 537% to reach his $12,000 scenario and nearly 1,068% to reach $22,000.
The ETH/BTC breakout shows that Ethereum has recently begun outperforming Bitcoin.
But the scale of the gains required means it remains far from confirming the major price predictions of $5,000 or Lee’s substantially higher long-term forecasts.