Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has stated that the XRP Ledger (XRPL) could capture up to 14% of SWIFT’s global liquidity by 2030.
His remarks were made during a panel at XRPL Apex 2025 on June 10, amid growing speculation about a possible partnership between Ripple and SWIFT, though no official collaboration has been confirmed.
Garlinghouse is less concerned with replicating or competing with SWIFT’s messaging layer.
Instead, he sees the real disruption coming from replacing the liquidity layer. “SWIFT today has two components—messaging and liquidity,” he said.
“Liquidity is owned by banks. I think less about the messaging and more about liquidity. If you’re driving all the liquidity, it’s good for XRP. So, in five years, I’d say 14%,” Garlinghouse added.
XRPL’s fast settlement speeds have made the blockchain a consistent contender in conversations about modernizing or integrating with SWIFT’s infrastructure.
However, XRP’s use via Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) service currently remains limited to a small number of financial institutions.
In October, SWIFT announced it would begin launching live blockchain-based transaction pilots in 2025.
This transition would allow banks in North America, Europe, and Asia to settle digital assets using SWIFT’s network.
Compared to SWIFT, XRPL offers much lower costs—typically under a cent per transaction—while SWIFT transfers can cost between $20 and $50.
XRPL also settles cross-border payments within three to five seconds, far faster than traditional methods.
At the same event, Ripple CTO David Schwartz announced the long-awaited release of an Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM)-compatible XRPL sidechain, set to go live this quarter.
Although a full mainnet launch has been anticipated since 2022, users have only recently gained access to a public testnet, launched in April.
Since then, nearly 2.5 million addresses have been registered, with daily transaction volumes regularly exceeding 300,000.
Well-known Ethereum-based tools like MetaMask are already integrated with the XRPL EVM testnet, and numerous decentralized applications are expected to launch once the mainnet becomes fully operational.