Key Takeaways
This week brings several key economic indicators that could shape global markets, with a focus on inflation, employment, and GDP data from major economies.
Investors’ eyes will turn to economic indicators in the Eurozone and the U.S., as well as Bitcoin, which is setting new records daily.
Germany’s consumer price index for October will be out on Tuesday, Nov. 12. Expected to show a monthly increase of 0.4%, it will offer insights into inflationary pressures within the Eurozone’s largest economy.
On Wednesday, in the U.S., October inflation is anticipated to rise by 0.3% month-over-month, with the broader CPI expected at 0.2% monthly and 2.4% annually.
As inflation remains a central concern, any deviation from forecasts could affect Federal Reserve policy expectations and market sentiment.
Moving to Thursday, the U.S. will release jobless claims figures, with expectations of 222,000 claims, slightly above the previous week’s 221,000.
Additionally, October’s producer price index may increase by 0.2%, potentially signaling upstream inflationary trends.
To be released on the same day, Japan’s GDP for Q3 is forecasted to slow to a 0.2% growth rate quarter-over-quarter, down from the previous 0.7%, as Japan contends with slower global demand and domestic challenges.
The U.K. will release its GDP data on Friday, including monthly, quarterly, and yearly figures for September and the third quarter.
Forecasts suggest modest growth of 0.2% for the quarter and month, with a year-over-year increase of just 0.1%.
In the U.S., October’s retail sales reports will provide insight into consumer spending trends, with forecasts of 0.3% and 0.2% growth, respectively.
Consumer spending remains a significant driver of the U.S. economy, so any weakness here could signal a broader slowdown.
This week’s corporate earnings calendar shows key players in retail, pharmaceuticals, technology, and even cryptocurrency.
Home Depot reported on Tuesday, fresh off a lowered sales forecast due to softening consumer trends. Investors will watch to see if the slowdown impacts the home improvement giant.
AstraZeneca, a British drugmaker developing a breast cancer treatment after a recent setback, will unveil its financials on Tuesday.
Cisco, the network infrastructure manufacturer, reports its first quarter results for fiscal 2025 on Wednesday. This comes after the company announced workforce cuts and a decline in revenue and earnings.
On Thursday, Walt Disney aims to build on its streaming service profits after exceeding expectations last quarter despite a dip in theme park demand.
JD.com and Alibaba, China’s online retail giants, will report on Thursday and Friday, respectively.
Furthermore, Bitcoin miner MARA Holdings will also report on Tuesday, following its recent $250 million acquisition of more Bitcoin to add to its already hefty holdings.
Bitcoin continues its U.S. election-fueled surge, crossing the $80,000 threshold and briefly reaching $81,893 before settling around $80,898. This rally began following former President Donald Trump’s victory over Vice President Kamala Harris.
Last Thursday, Bitcoin hit $75,000 for the first time, with an additional spike over the weekend. Not only did the spot price soar, but futures premiums also surged.
Reflecting heightened market interest, open interest for Bitcoin at a potential $90,000 price point has climbed to over $2.8 billion on Deribit , a leading cryptocurrency derivatives trading platform.
However, the recent Bitcoin surge isn’t solely due to Trump’s victory.
Anticipation of loosening monetary policy—a stance strongly supported by the incoming president—is also a major driver.