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Bitcoin Price Prediction 2026: Volatility Could Return Soon

Last Updated 25 November 2025
Victor Olanrewaju Valdrin Tahiri
Authors

Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin (BTC) reached its all-time high in October 2025.
  • The Bitcoin price has fallen by more than 30% since the high.
  • Is Bitcoin’s market cycle over, or is another high yet to come?

The Bitcoin price increased by over 600% in the current market cycle, which aligns with the diminishing returns since the first.

As Bitcoin has fallen by over 30% since its all-time high, concerns have arisen that the market cycle has finally ended.

This article examines Bitcoin price predictions for the upcoming years, taking into account key technical indicators, including the wave count and logarithmic growth curve.

Here’s what you can expect for Bitcoin’s price movements in 2025, 2026, and beyond.

Bitcoin Price Prediction

Let’s look at the Bitcoin price predictions made by CCN on Nov. 25, 2025, using a combination of the wave count and the Logarithmic growth curve. The minimum and maximum predictions depend on the projected price movement during the year and the minimum and maximum of the logarithmic growth curve.

Minimum BTC Price Prediction Average BTC Price Prediction Maximum BTC Price Prediction
2026 $65,000 $73,000 $110,000
2027 $50,000 $57,000 $72,000
2030 $110,0000 $250,000 $1,300,000,000

Bitcoin’s wave count shows a five-wave upward movement (green) since November 2022.

If the count is accurate, Bitcoin has completed the fifth and final wave of its upward movement and is now correcting inside wave A of its A-B-C correction.

The sub-wave count is in black, suggesting Bitcoin has completed the fifth and final wave of its upward movement.

Wave A is ongoing, and could take the BTC price to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement support level of $71,000.

Bitcoin Wave Count
BTC/USDT Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Considering how long the upward movement lasted, the correction could be similarly lengthy.

A correction that lasts for 0.61 times the length of the upward movement will lead to a low of $57,000 in August 2027.

We will use this as the prediction for the end of 2027.

During these projected upward and downward movements, the wave count method leads to Bitcoin price predictions of $73,000 and $57,000 for the end of 2026 and 2027, respectively.

Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2026

The wave count method predicts that Bitcoin’s price will range between $65,000 and $110,000 at the end of 2026.

Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2027

The wave count method predicts that Bitcoin’s price will range between $65,000 and $110,000 at the end of 2027.

Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2030

The wave count method and the logarithmic growth curve predict that Bitcoin’s price will range between $110,000 and $ 1.3 trillion in 2030.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Bitcoin’s weekly price action continues to unravel, with last week’s and this week’s 22% decline exacerbating the trend.

While Bitcoin had traded above its 50-week Moving Average (MA) throughout the entire bull market, it fell below it decisively last week.

After four previous bounces, the breakdown suggests that Bitcoin’s bull cycle has ended and the price has begun a bear market.

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If that is the case, the main horizontal and Fibonacci support will be at $70,900, created by the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement support level and a horizontal support area.

Besides the price action, here’s why Bitcoin is going down: Momentum indicators are bearish.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) created bearish divergences (orange) near the all-time high.

These divergences often mark the peak of upward movements, and the subsequent decrease since the all-time high suggests that this may have been the case.

Combining these three indicators alongside the price action gives a highly bearish signal that confirmed the end of the bull market last cycle.

BTC Weekly Movement
BTC/USDT Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

More specifically, a Bitcoin price close below the 50-week MA alongside an RSI decline below 50 and a MACD drop into negative territory occurred in January 2022.

While the BTC price eventually bounced and reached the 50-week MA (black circle) again, that was a dead cat bounce as BTC eventually declined by another 67% since the bearish cross.

Short-Term Bitcoin Price Prediction

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has fallen by nearly 32% since its all-time high, hitting a low of $80,600 today.

This is the lowest price since April 21, and is triggering major fears that the bull market has already ended.

Besides the severity of the crash, there are no bullish trend reversal signs. On the contrary, all indications suggest that Bitcoin will continue to decline.

BTC Daily
BTC/USDT Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is decreasing and at 24, while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is well into negative territory.

Neither has generated any bullish divergences, so a bullish trend reversal is a long way off.

The technicals only get worse, since Bitcoin’s wave count also predicts new lows. According to the count, the BTC price is in an extended wave three in a five-wave downward movement.

Wave three has 1.61 times the length of wave one, leading to a low of $80,562.

If that is the case, there could be a minor bounce soon, indicated by the sub-wave count (black), but the price of Bitcoin will eventually crash lower.

Bitcoin Average True Range (ATR): BTC Volatility

The Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility by averaging the largest of three values: the current high minus the current low, the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close, and the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close, over a period of typically 14 days.

Weekly ATR
BTC ATR Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

A rising ATR indicates increasing volatility, while a falling ATR indicates decreasing volatility.

On November 25, Bitcoin’s ATR was $ 9,884, indicating high volatility.

Bitcoin Relative Strength Index (RSI): Is BTC Overbought or Oversold?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that traders use to determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold. Movements above 70 and below 30 show overbought and oversold conditions, respectively.

Movements above and below the 50 line also indicate if the trend is bullish or bearish.

Bitcoin RSI
BTC RSI Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

On Nov. 25, the Bitcoin RSI was 36.3, signifying a bearish trend.

CCN Strength Index

The CCN Strength Index combines a range of advanced market signals to quantify the strength of individual cryptocurrencies over the past 30 days.

Every day, it assigns a strength score, ranging from 0 to 100, to the top 500 assets by market capitalization on CoinMarketCap, focusing on both trend direction and the intensity of price movements.

  • 0 to 24: Assets exhibit significant weakness, showing signs of sustained downtrend behavior.
  • 25 to 35: The price tends to move within stable bounds with minimal volatility.
  • 36 to 49: Assets begin a stable uptrend but without strong surges.
  • 50 to 59: Consistent growth with moderate price advances, building momentum.
  • 60+: Sharp price movements and high demand indicate more volatility and trend shifts.

The index dynamically adapts to rapid changes. For example, an asset experiencing a 100% increase within a short timeframe would see a sharp jump in its score to reflect the intensity of the rise.

CCN Index
Bitcoin CCN Index | Credit: CCN

However, should that asset stabilize at this new price level, the score will gradually taper down and align with the dampened momentum as the movement normalizes.

On Nov. 25, Bitcoin showed 51.4 on the CCN index, indicating average strength.

Best Days and Months to Buy Bitcoin

We examined the BTC price history and identified the lowest points on specific days, months, quarters, and weeks throughout the year, indicating the optimal times to buy BTC.

Time to Buy Bitcoin Best Days, Weeks, Months, and Quarters
Best Day Wednesday
Best Week 45
Best Month November
Best Quarter Q4

Price Performance Comparisons

Current Price One Year Ago Price Change
Bitcoin $87,485 $93,000 -10.9%
Litecoin $84.18 $92.32 -12.8%
Bitcoin Cash $525.23 $491.23 +3.0%
Bitcoin SV $20.69 $63.48 -70.0%

Bitcoin Price History

Let’s look at some key dates in the Bitcoin price history. It is essential to remember that past performance is no guarantee of future results; however, understanding what BTC has achieved in the past can provide valuable context when making or interpreting a BTC price prediction.

Bitcoin Price History
BTC Price History | Credit: CoinGecko
Time Period Bitcoin Price
Last Week (Nov. 18, 2025) $91,196
Previous Month (Oct. 25, 2025) $111,826
Three Months Ago (Aug. 18, 2025) $110,248
One Year Ago (Nov. 25, 2024) $93,025
Five Years Ago (Nov. 25, 2020) $16,223
Launch Price (May 2010) $0.01
All-Time High (Jan. 20, 2025)  $109,351
All-Time Low (May 2010) $0.01

Bitcoin Market Cap

Market capitalization, or market cap, is the total number of BTC in circulation multiplied by their current price.

BTC Market Cap
BTC Market Cap | Credit: CoinGecko

On Nov. 25, 2025, Bitcoin’s market cap was $1,746 trillion, making it the most prominent cryptocurrency.

Who Owns the Most Bitcoin

On Nov. 25, 2025, only one wallet, tagged as “Binance,” held over 1% of the Bitcoin supply.

Richest BTC Wallet Addresses

As of Nov. 25, 2025, the five wallets with the most BTC were:

  • 34xp4vRoCGJym3xR7yCVPFHoCNxv4Twseo. This wallet, named Binance, held 248,598 BTC, or 1.18% of the total supply.
  • bc1ql49ydapnjafl5t2cp9zqpjwe6pdgmxy98859v2. This wallet held 140,575 BTC, or 0.67% of the total supply.
  • bc1qgdjqv0av3q56jvd82tkdjpy7gdp9ut8tlqmgrpmv24sq90ecnvqqjwvw97. This wallet, named Bitfinex, held 139,010 BTC, or 0.66% of the total supply.
  • 3M219KR5vEneNb47ewrPfWyb5jQ2DjxRP6. This wallet, named Binance, held 134,281 BTC, or 0.64% of the total supply.
  • bc1qazcm763858nkj2dj986etajv6wquslv8uxwczt. This wallet held 94,643 BTC, or 0.45% of the total supply.

Supply and Distribution

Supply and Distribution Figures
Total Supply 21,000,000,000
Circulating supply as of Nov. 25, 2025 19,953,237
Holder distribution as of Nov. 25, 2025 Top 10 holders hold 5.4% of the total supply.

What is Bitcoin?

Bitcoin (BTC) is the first decentralized cryptocurrency, created in 2009 by an anonymous entity called Satoshi Nakamoto. It utilizes blockchain technology for secure, peer-to-peer transactions, eliminating the need for a central authority.

How Does Bitcoin Work?

Bitcoin operates on a public blockchain where miners verify transactions using a proof-of-work consensus mechanism. The total supply is capped at 21 million BTC, making it scarce and often compared to gold.

Is Bitcoin a Good Investment?

Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility but is often regarded as a store of value. It can be a speculative investment and a hedge against inflation. Its long-term potential is optimistic, but short-term price movements can be unpredictable.

Will Bitcoin Go Up or Down?

Bitcoin’s price is highly volatile, influenced by market trends, regulatory changes, and technological advancements. Predicting its direction is challenging.

Should I Invest in Bitcoin?

Investing in Bitcoin requires careful research, as its volatility can lead to significant gains or losses. Only invest what you can afford to lose.

FAQs 

How many Bitcoin are there?

On Nov. 25, 2025, 19.95 million BTC were in circulation out of a maximum supply of 21.0 million.

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000?

Bitcoin reached the $100,000 milestone in December 2024, peaking at approximately $108,786.

What is Bitcoin used for?

Bitcoin is a store of value. It can be used to pay for a range of goods and services in the real world. It is legal tender in El Salvador and the Central African Republic. People can also buy, sell, and trade it on crypto exchanges.

Victor Olanrewaju

Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space.

With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run.

He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives.

In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends.

At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics.

He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.

Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

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