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XRP Fails Bullish Breakout, Could Tumble Toward Multi-Month Lows

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

The XRP price continues to experience rough times, as it recently failed to return to the $3 mark. This decrease was due to hawkish market conditions and macroeconomic policies.

XRP struggles to exit the prolonged downtrend despite dropping to the previous accumulation level. With this in place, bears might continue to remain dominant, pushing XRP’s price further lower to levels not seen in a long time,

XRP Breakdown Continues

On the weekly chart, XRP’s structure shows a head-and-shoulders pattern formation. The head-and-shoulders pattern is a classic reversal chart pattern used in technical analysis to signal a potential trend change—usually from bullish to bearish.

As seen below, XRP’s price climbed and then pulled back, forming the left shoulder. Later on, the price rises again, making a higher peak(head)  than the left shoulder, then drops

Finally, the right shoulder appears but doesn’t surpass the head, then declines again. As seen below, XRP’s price has fallen below the neckline at $2.15.

Following this decline, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has dropped to the negative region. This drop in the MACD reading indicates bearish momentum.

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If this trend continues, XRP’s next move might be a decline to support nearly $1.44.

XRP technical analysis
XRP/USD Weekly Chart | Credit: TradingView

XRP Price Analysis: Trouble Lies Ahead

On the daily chart, the technical setup seems similar. But in this case, XRP’s price is confined within a descending channel. Amid this decline, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading is below the signal line.

The RSI measures momentum by measuring the size and speed of price changes. When it rises, momentum is bullish.

On the other hand, a decline in the RSI indicates a bearish momentum. As of this writing, the RSI is below the neutral line, indicating that the momentum around XRP is bearish.

If this trend continues, XRP’s market value might rise significantly above $2.

Like the RSI, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) reading has dropped below the zero signal line. This drop in the AO indicates a bearish trend, suggesting that XRP might keep consolidating amid the green histogram bars.

In terms of its short-term targets, XRP’s next move could be a decline to $1.60 at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. In a highly bearish case, its price might fall by 50% to $1.

XRP price analysis
XRP/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

On the other hand, if momentum becomes bullish, XRP’s price might jump toward the 0.618 golden pocket ratio.

In that scenario, the altcoin might rally to $2.29. A highly bullish scenario could see the token rise to $2.78.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju is a seasoned crypto reporter at CCN, currently based in Lagos, Nigeria. His journey into crypto began in 2017, but it wasn't until 2020—after receiving a slice of the Uniswap airdrop—that things truly clicked. At the time, Victor was learning the ropes of copywriting. That turning point led him to a role as a crypto copywriter for an affiliate marketing firm working with top crypto brokers. At the firm, he produced educational content and price predictions that significantly boosted visibility and conversions for clients, including a standout XRP price prediction that topped Google SERPs during the 2021 bull run. Victor transitioned into crypto journalism in 2022, joining AMBCrypto as a writer and analyst. There, he sharpened his skills in on-chain and technical analysis, playing a part in the outlet’s growth into a top-tier crypto media platform. In 2024, he continued his journey at BeInCrypto, where he worked with the analytics team using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, CryptoQuant, and IntoTheBlock to deliver in-depth reports on Bitcoin, altcoins, and memecoins. Now at CCN, Victor specializes in real-time news, on-chain metrics, and technical analysis. He holds a Bachelor's degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan—a background that allows him to simplify complex technical insights for a broader audience while keeping content engaging, factual and impactful.
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