Worldcoin (WLD) has narrowly avoided hitting a new all-time low, despite suffering a 60% decline over the past year
The 60% price decrease makes WLD one of the worst-performing tokens out of the top 100 in 2025. At the time of writing, the token has shown some resilience after its crucial bounce from $0.82.
Still, bearish pressure persists. In this analysis, we reveal why a potential trend reversal isn’t off the table with accumulation showing tendencies of picking up.
WLD Finds Crucial Support
Our on-chain analysis of the In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP) reveals that WLD’s key support sits around $0.87.
The IOMAP categorizes addresses based on profitability. A higher volume of tokens “in the money” indicates support, while a larger volume “out of the money” signifies resistance.
According to IntoTheBlock, 253 WLD addresses collectively hold around 48 million tokens at this level, outpacing the volume of unrealized losses between $0.90 and $1.
This suggests that as Worldcoin’s price attempts to climb higher, it may not encounter significant selling pressure. If sustained, this could increase the likelihood of an uptrend in the short term.
WLD In/Out of Money Around Price | Credit: IntoTheBlock
Accumulation Zone Hit
Additionally, the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio reinforces the bullish outlook.
The MVRV ratio assesses market profitability and helps determine whether an asset is undervalued or overvalued relative to its fair price.
A spike in the MVRV ratio signals rising unrealized gains, prompting holders to take profits, and can trigger a price pullback. However, a declining MVRV ratio suggests falling gains, indicating that the asset is approaching an undervalued zone.
On March 10, the WLD 30-day MVRV ratio stood at -42%. Today, it has risen to -29.38%, signaling that Worldcoin’s price has likely bounced from its bottom, with potential for further upside.
WLD 30-Day MVRV Ratio | Credit: Santiment
WLD Price Targets $1 Rebound
From a technical standpoint, the 4-hour shows a bullish setup. One indicator supporting this outlook is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
The MACD is an indicator that tracks changes in trend strength, direction, momentum and duration in an asset’s price. With the indicator, one can identify potential buy or sell signals.
As of this writing, the MACD reading is positive, indicating bullish momentum. In addition, the 12-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has crossed over the 26 EMA, indicating that Worldcoin’s price might fail to break down its all-time low.
Thus, if this trend remains the same, WLD’s price might hit $0.96 in the short term. A highly bullish scenario could see the altcoin climb above the $1 mark.
However, if WLD fails to retest $0.96 soon, this prediction might not come to pass. In that case, the token’s market value might plunge to $0.70, which was a new low it hit on March 11.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space.
With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run.
He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives.
In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends.
At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics.
He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.
