Key Takeaways
Tron’s (TRX) price action has followed a different rhythm than most major cryptocurrencies during this cycle.
While assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) have seen sharp rallies and retracements, TRX has taken a more measured path.
Since November 2022, TRX has climbed steadily with minimal pullbacks, breaking its all-time high in late 2024. The rally peaked at $0.45 in December before facing a sharp correction.
Now, TRX is back on the rise, trading just 30% below its all-time high.
Let’s break down the charts to see whether TRX has the momentum to retest or surpass its previous peak.
On the weekly chart, TRX has been climbing steadily along a parabolic curve since the current market cycle kicked off in November 2022.
While a parabolic trend lacks the fixed slope of a diagonal trendline, the curve has been respected multiple times, adding to its credibility as a guide for price action.
TRX bounced off the curve in June, kicking off six straight weeks of bullish candlesticks.
If the current candle closes at or near its high, it will mark the strongest weekly close since TRX’s all-time high, which was accompanied by a long upper wick.
Momentum indicators support the bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is rising and has just pushed past the 70 level, often a sign of strong upward momentum.

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) has made a bullish cross and is positive.
So, the weekly time frame predicts a bullish TRON price for the rest of 2025, indicating that TRX’s price will reach a new all-time high.
Let’s look at the wave count and determine where that may be.
TRON’s wave count is irregular but well within the rules of an Elliott Wave Structure.
TRX broke out from a long-term symmetrical triangle at the start of 2024 and began a five-wave upward movement.
If so, it is currently in the fifth and final wave of its increase (green).
There are two targets for the rally’s top, at $0.477 and $0.769, respectively.

The 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement creates the first, while the 2.61 Fibonacci level creates the second.
While the first would barely be a new all-time high, the second would create a considerable extension.
Both are currently possible, and the reaction once the TRX price breaks its highs will tell which will transpire.
In both cases, a new, all-time high TRX price is likely during this cycle.
While the TRX price movement is dissimilar to that of Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Dogecoin, it is very similar to the XRP price movement.
Since 2019, the two assets have moved in tandem with each other, except for a brief divergence in 2024 when TRON outperformed XRP.

Both reached all-time highs in December 2024 before correcting. Then, XRP reached a new all-time high in July, while TRX has yet to do so.
Therefore, if the fractal holds, TRX will reach a new all-time high price soon.
TRON has shown exceptional strength this cycle, trending bullishly since late 2022 and standing just 30% below its all-time high.
Momentum indicators indicate a sustained bullish momentum, and the wave count predicts a new high.
TRON also has a long-standing fractal with XRP, leading to a new all-time high TRX price in August.
Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.
He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.
Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.
He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.
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