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THETA Price Consolidates After Bullish Movement — Awaiting Channel Breakout

Published
Nikola Lazic
Published
By Nikola Lazic
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • Elliott Wave correction completion near key Fibonacci levels.
  • Descending channel breakout potential, indicating a bullish reversal.
  • The momentum indicator shows increasing bullishness.

Theta Token (THETA) has been navigating a corrective phase following an extended five-wave rally. The recent price action suggests a potential bottoming pattern with a possible impulsive reversal.

The 4-hour chart provides insights into the broader market structure, while the 1-hour chart details the short-term wave count and potential price trajectory.

THETA Price Analysis

The 4-hour chart of THETA outlines a completed five-wave Elliott Wave impulse to a peak of approximately $3.36 on Dec. 7 before entering an ABC corrective phase.

The corrective move formed a descending channel, which aligns with a textbook retracement, ultimately finding support around $1.20 on Feb. 3.

After making a 33% recovery, we saw another retest of the $1.20 low, which could be an early sign of the price bottom.

THETA price analysis
THETAUSD | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

Wave A and Wave B are structured within this broader correction, with Wave C potentially ending the corrective cycle on Feb. 3.

Fibonacci retracement levels highlight significant reaction points, with the 0.618 level at $1.90 acting as a critical resistance zone for a reversal confirmation.

Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour timeframe has rebounded from oversold conditions, suggesting selling exhaustion.

The declining channel breakout could be the first sign of a bullish shift. However, for confirmation, THETA must reclaim resistance at $1.51 (0.786 Fibonacci level), which previously acted as a supply zone.

If the price sustains above this level, it could initiate a new five-wave impulsive structure. Otherwise, a failure to hold $1.20 support could extend the correction toward $1.00 or lower.

THETA Price Prediction

The 1-hour chart presents a clearer Elliott Wave structure, indicating the potential start of a five-wave impulse.

The first minor wave (i) peaked at approximately $1.60, followed by a retracement to wave (ii) near $1.20, coinciding with a strong horizontal support zone.

THETA price prediction
THETAUSD uptrend likely starting | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

Wave (iii) is anticipated to be the strongest, targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci extension at $1.90, which aligns with prior resistance.

A retracement in wave (iv) could revisit support near $1.70 before a final push in wave (v) toward the 0.5 Fibonacci level at $2.18.

However, failure to break above $1.50 could indicate a bearish continuation, leading to a retest of the $1.20 or even the psychological $1.00 level.

The RSI on the 1-hour timeframe suggests a potential bullish divergence, supporting the idea of a rebound. If the price clears resistance at $1.51, the bullish count remains intact, but a breakdown below $1.20 would invalidate this scenario.

Given the chart structure and key levels, the most likely outcome is a bullish breakout above $1.50, which would lead to further gains.

Confirming an impulsive wave structure would reinforce this outlook, with Fibonacci extensions guiding short-term targets.

Key Levels to Watch

  • Immediate Resistance: $1.51 (0.786 Fibonacci level).
  • Key Support: $1.20 (historical horizontal support).
  • Critical Support: $1.00 (1.0 Fibonacci retracement).
  • Short-Term Target for Wave (v): Above $2.18 if momentum sustains.
  • Invalidation Zone: Below $1.00, signaling further downside risks.

This setup presents an opportunity for a potential reversal, provided THETA can confirm bullish momentum with a breakout above key resistance.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Nikola Lazic

Nikola Lazic is a cryptocurrency analyst and investor working in the industry since 2017. He holds a bachelor's degree in Sociology, which enables him to better understand the psychology behind the crowd´s positioning. Consequently his preferred analytical tool is Elliott Wave Theory in combination with price action analysis. Combining his experience in trading and investing with knowledge in content writing he strives to bring the most accurate and actionable information. Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, On-chain metrics, Research reports.
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