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Tezos (XTZ) Price Trapped in Descending Channel, Likely to Drop Below $0.50

Published 16 October 2025
Victor Olanrewaju
Authors

Key Takeaways

  • XTZ remains trapped near $0.61, unable to break out of its descending channel.
  • CMF and BBP readings are negative, while the RSI trend continues to decline toward oversold territory.
  • Here is why XTZ Price could slide toward $0.50 or below if sellers maintain control.

XTZ, the native token of the Tezos blockchain, continues to face sustained bearish pressure as it struggles to reclaim key resistance levels amid weak broader market sentiment. 

As of this writing, the coin trades around $0.613 within a clear descending channel that limits price movement.

Sellers have repeatedly rejected rebounds from the upper trendline, showing firm control. At the same time, buyers have failed to spark any meaningful momentum.

Due to this, the Tezos cryptocurrency is likely to fail to bounce above key levels.

XTZ Downtrend Persists

On the 4-hour chart, XTZ’s Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) sits at -0.13, signaling steady capital outflows.

This negative reading highlights persistent distribution and limited accumulation, both hallmarks of a continuing bearish trend. 

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Meanwhile, the Money Flow Index (MFI) stands slightly above the 50.00 neutral market level, suggesting brief buying attempts. Yet, sellers still dominate.

The MFI’s inability to rise above 50 further emphasizes XTZ’s weak buying strength and fading recovery potential.

Structurally, XTZ’s price remains locked in a descending channel, currently drifting below the $0.65 mark.

Each rebound has produced lower highs, confirming relentless selling pressure. 

XTZ price action
XTZ/USD 4-Hour Chart| Credit: TradingView

If this momentum persists, the token could revisit support near $0.55, and an extended drop might pull prices below the psychological $0.43 level, creating a new local low.

XTZ Price Maintains Bearish Outlook

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 40 and trending downward toward the oversold zone around 20, reflecting sellers’ firm grip on the market. 

The Bull Bear Power (BBP) reflects this pattern, currently at -0.0574, indicating that selling volume continues to outweigh buying strength.

The BBP’s position below the zero line reinforces the broader bearish bias and the view that XTZ remains in a distribution phase.

The Fibonacci retracement drawn from the $1.22 swing high to the $0.43 swing low highlights key interest levels.

Furthermore, the Tezos crypto has already fallen below the 0.382 retracement at $0.75, and its current price of $0.62 aligns closely with the 0.236 level. 

If sellers maintain pressure, XTZ’s price could slide further toward $0.50. In addition, a break below $0.46 would confirm a deeper bearish continuation, possibly pushing the token to multi-month lows. 

XTZ price
XTZ/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

However, the trend can change if bulls manage a strong recovery above the 0.382 Fib level at $0.73. In that scenario, XTZ might close beyond the channel resistance, potentially signaling a trend reversal and targeting $0.82 next.

However, considering the current trend, it may take some time before the Tezos cryptocurrency price rebounds. Most importantly, it might depend on the broader crypto outlook.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Victor Olanrewaju

Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space.

With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run.

He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives.

In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends.

At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics.

He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.

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