Key Takeaways
Solana (SOL) shows signs of a potential trend shift after retesting key support levels and bouncing off them. Despite a higher low indicating bullish momentum, the price still faces significant resistance. Will SOL break through and confirm a new uptrend, or is this a temporary corrective move before another downturn?
After breaking above the descending resistance on July 20, SOL was anticipated to retrace for potential bullish trend confirmation, provided it could hold above the previously broken resistance.
However, the failure to maintain this level indicated that the corrective structure, which began in mid-March, remained in play, pushing SOL back down to its horizontal support near $120 on Aug. 5
As a descending flat triangle formed, seller pressure intensified with each test while buyers held firm at the same level. On Sept. 6, this support area was retested, resulting in a price bounce contributing to the current increase.
Additionally, the higher low from Sept. 16 suggests the potential start of an uptrend. However, today’s high of $156 remains just below descending resistance, anchored at the yearly high.
Given the positive momentum that brought SOL to the projected level, two possible outcomes are ahead. Will SOL break through, signaling the start of a bull phase, or will it get rejected?
Looking at the hourly chart, two scenarios are in play, both dependent on whether or not a long-lasting WXYXZ correction ended on the Sept. 6 low.
The key lies in interpreting the recent upswing from Sept. 6 to 13.
In the first scenario, SOL began a new uptrend on Sept. 6, which could lead to a stronger upward movement and a breakout above the descending resistance.
As SOL reached $156, corresponding to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, a new higher high would confirm the five-wave impulse and solidify the uptrend.
SOL’s current rise could be corrective in the second scenario, ending below the $150 resistance.
If rejected, SOL may drop, breaking below the $120 horizontal support and potentially reaching a lower low of $105.