On June 19, Korean Exchange Upbit added RAY to its KRW and USDT trading pairs, triggering a nearly 50% price surge.
The news-triggered rally temporarily ended a 35-day Raydium downward movement but failed to cause a breakout.
RAY attempts to break out from a diagonal and horizontal resistance and move toward $3.
Let’s examine the charts and see if this is likely.
The daily time frame analysis shows that the RAY price has fallen under a descending resistance trend line since May 14.
While doing so, the price also declined below the $2.250 horizontal area, which had previously provided support.
Today’s RAY rally, triggered by the Upbit listing, briefly lifted the price above the diagonal and horizontal resistance.
However, it failed to sustain the rally, creating a long upper wick (red icon). So, while the increase is a positive sign, the failure to maintain it is bearish.
Nevertheless, the rest of the price action is bullish. RAY has created a double-bottom pattern combined with bullish divergences in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) (orange).
So, the daily time frame gives a bullish RAY prediction, suggesting the price will eventually break out from these resistances.
While the price action is bullish, the wave count suggests the RAY increase is corrective.
This is because the downward movement after May 15 is a five-wave decline (red), likely wave A in an A-B-C correction (black).
If the count is accurate, RAY will complete wave B inside the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance at $2.90-$3.12.
Afterward, another downward movement for wave C is likely.
The RAY price surged today after an Upbit listing, but did not sustain its upward movement.
The wave count suggests the increase is corrective, but the price can reach $2.90 – $3.10 before falling again.